Bowling Green vs. Ohio - 11/19/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Ohio Bobcats (4-6) at Bowling Green Falcons (3-7)
College Football: Tuesday, November 19, 2019 at 7:30 pm (Doyt L. Perry Stadium)
The Line: Bowling Green Falcons +18 -- Over/Under: 58
The Ohio Bobcats and the Bowling Green Falcons meet in week 13 college football MAC-tion from Doyt L. Perry Stadium on Tuesday night.
The Ohio Bobcats will look to rebound from back-to-back three point losses after a 37-34 overtime loss to Western Michigan last time out. Nathan Rourke has thrown for 2,101 yards 13 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 59.9% passing while also leading the Bobcats in rushing with 718 rushing yards and 10 TDs. O’Shaan Allison has 577 rushing yards while De’Montre Tuggles has added 416 rushing yards. Isiah Cox leads the Bobcats in receiving with 29 catches for 479 yards while Shane Hooks has 355 receiving yards and Ryan Luehrman has 318 receiving yards with 4 touchdowns. Jerome Buckner, Cameron Odom and the aforementioned Tuggle each have 100+ receiving yards for the Bobcats this season. Defensively, Javon Hagan leads Ohio with 92 total tackles while Cole Baker and Austin Conrad each have 3 sacks this season. As a team, Ohio is averaging 410.8 yards of total offense and 29.8 points per game while allowing 432.8 yards of total defense and 29.7 points per game against this season.
The Bowling Green Falcons will look to bounce back after falling to 3-7 with a 44-3 loss to Miami-Ohio in their last outing. Grant Loy has thrown for 882 yards, 5 touchdowns and 10 interceptions while Bryson Denley leads Ohio with 463 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns and the aforementioned Loy has 402 rushing yards and 4 TDs. Davon Jones has added 334 rushing yards and Andrew Clair has 244 rushing yards this season. Quinton Morris leads Bowling Green with 48 grabs for 528 yards and 3 touchdowns while Denley has 26 catches for 263 yards and Julian Ortega-Jones, RB Marlow III and Austin Dorris each have 100+ receiving yards this season. Defensively, Brandon Perce leads Bowling Green with 93 total tackles including a team-high 44 solo tackles and a pair of interceptions while Kholbe Coleman has 88 total tackles and Karl Brooks has a team-high 4.5 sacks this season. As a team, Bowling Green is averaging 323.3 yards of total offense and 16.1 points per game while allowing 441.1 yards of total defense and 34.8 points per game against this season.
Ohio is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Bowling Green is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games while the under is 9-2 in their last 11 conference games. Ohio is 5-15 ATS in the last 20 meetings between these two teams and 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams at Bowling Green.
I get Ohio being favored as Bowling Green’s had a rough go of things lately. However, while Ohio’s gone 2-0 SU on the road this season, only one of those wins came by double-digits, and it was their only double-digit win of the season so far. A lot of Bowling Green’s struggles have come on the road, but in conference, the Falcons are 2-1 SU at home, including the 20-7 win over Toledo as 26.5-point underdogs. The Falcons may be playing for pride and Ohio’s bowl lives are on the line here, but I think this is too many points. Give me Bowling Green in this one.