USF vs. Cincinnati - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USF vs. Cincinnati - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports

Cincinnati Bearcats (8-1) at USF Bulls (4-5)

College Football: Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 7:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)

The Line: USF Bulls +13.5 -- Over/Under:

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The Cincinnati Bearcats and South Florida Bulls meet Saturday in college football action at Raymond James Stadium.

The Cincinnati Bearcats look for another win to build on their seven-game winning streak. The Cincinnati Bearcats have won their last three road games. Desmond Ridder is completing 59 percent of his passes for 1,696 yards, 17 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Ridder has 15 touchdown passes in his last seven games. Alec Pierce and Josiah Deguara have combined for 855 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Rashad Medaris has 18 receptions. The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 202.4 yards per contest, and Michael Warren II leads the way with 699 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 21 points and 363.2 yards per game. Darrick Forrest leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 73 tackles, Michael Pitts has 4.5 sacks and Ja'von Hicks has four interceptions. 

The South Florida Bulls need a win here after splitting their last eight games. The South Florida Bulls have lost three of their last five home games. Jordan McCloud is completing 56.8 percent of his passes for 1,001 yards, 11 touchdowns and six interceptions. Blake Barnett and McCloud have combined for 15 touchdown passes and eight interceptions. Mitchell Wilcox and Bryce Miller combined for 514 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Jacob Mathis has 12 receptions. The South Florida Bulls ground game is averaging 167.1 yards per contest, and Jordan Cronkrite leads the way with 608 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, South Florida is allowing 27.1 points and 377.8 yards per game. Patrick Macon leads the South Florida Bulls with 67 tackles, Greg Reaves has three sacks and KJ Sails has two interceptions.

The Bearcats are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass, 5-13 ATS in their last 18 conference games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The over is 4-1-1 in Bulls last 6 games on grass. The over is 4-1 in Bearcats last 5 road games.

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games as a double-digit favorite. The South Florida Bulls are 4-4 ATS in their last eight games as a double-digit underdog. Outside of a loss to Ohio State, Cincinnati has been the most consistent team in the AAC and has a defense that's allowed less than 20 points in five of its eight wins. South Florida has been held to single-digit points in two of its last three games and often looks lost when playing winning teams. Throw in the trends and there's no reason not to take the Bearcats in a comfortable road victory. 


Randy’s Pick Cincinnati Bearcats -13.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.