UAB vs. UTEP - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Marvin Gentry-USA TODAY Sports
UTEP Miners (1-8) at UAB Blazers (6-3)
College Football: Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 1:00 pm (Legion Field)
The Line: UAB Blazers -18 -- Over/Under:
The UTEP Miners and UAB Blazers meet Saturday in college football action at Legion Field.
The UTEP Miners need a win here to snap an eight-game losing streak. The UTEP Miners have lost their last five road games. Kai Locksley is completing 55.9 percent of his passes for 871 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Locksley and Brandon Jones have combined for five touchdown passes and six interceptions. Jacob Cowing and Tre'Shon Wolf have combined for 662 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Justin Garrett has 28 receptions. The UTEP Miners ground game is averaging 141.1 yards per contest, and Treyvon Hughes leads the way with 567 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, UTEP is allowing 35.6 points and 434.3 yards per game. Michael Lewis leads the UTEP Miners with 73 tackles, Praise Amaewhule has three sacks and Ykili Ross has two interceptions.
The UAB Blazers look for a win after splitting their last six games. The UAB Blazers have won all four home games this season. Tyler Johnston III is completing 59.1 percent of his passes for 1,899 yards, 15 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Johnston has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last seven games. Austin Watkins Jr. and Kendall Parham have combined for 1,307 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Myron Mitchell has 26 receptions. The UAB Blazers ground game is averaging 134.4 yards per contest, and Lucious Stanley leads the way with 282 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, UAB is allowing 19.7 points and 263 yards per game. Kristopher Moll leads the UAB Blazers with 69 tackles, Jordan Smith has 7.5 sacks and Will Boler has two interceptions.
The Miners are 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 games on fieldturf, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Blazers are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 conference games, 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games and 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 games overall. The Miners are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the road team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The under is 21-10-1 in Blazers last 32 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Miners last 6 games in November.
The UTEP Miners are 3-3 ATS in their last six games as a double-digit underdog. The UAB Blazers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a double-digit favorite. UTEP is one of those teams that's not winning games or covering, so there's very little betting value with this squad right now. UAB scored a combined nine points in its last two games, but the Blazers are a completely different monster at home and they clearly take care of business when oddsmakers make them big favorites. This game I'm going to play the trends and side with the UAB Blazers in a comfortable home victory.