Penn State vs. Indiana - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Penn State vs. Indiana - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Indiana Hoosiers (7-2) at Penn State Nittany Lions (8-1)

College Football: Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Beaver Stadium)

The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions -14.5 -- Over/Under:

TV: ABC

The Indiana Hoosiers and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in college football action at Beaver Stadium.

The Indiana Hoosiers look for another win to build on their four-game winning streak. The Indiana Hoosiers have won two of their last three road games. Michael Penix Jr. is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 1,394 yards, 10 touchdowns and four interceptions. Penix has nine touchdown passes in his last five games. Whop Philyor and Peyton Hendershot have combined for 1,212 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Ty Fryfogle has 33 receptions. The Indiana Hoosiers ground game is averaging 138.4 yards per contest, and Stevie Scott III leads the way with 737 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, Indiana is allowing 20 points and 310.2 yards per game. Micah McFadden leads the Indiana Hoosiers with 42 tackles, Allen Stallings IV has four sacks and Jaylin Williams has one interception.

The Penn State Nittany Lions look for a bounce back showing after losing last week to Minnesota. The Penn State Nittany Lions haven’t lost a home game since October of last year. Sean Clifford is completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 2,271 yards, 21 touchdowns and six interceptions. Clifford has 15 touchdown passes in his last seven games. KJ Hamler and Pat Freiermuth have combined for 1,131 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while Jahan Dotson has 20 receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 171 yards per contest, and Journey Brown leads the way with 421 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 12 points and 300 yards per game. Micah Parsons leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 68 tackles, Yetur Gross-Matos has 5.5 sacks and John Reid has two interceptions. 

The Hoosiers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Nittany Lions are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 home games, 19-8-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 29-14-2 ATS in their last 45 games overall. The Hoosiers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Penn State and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 5-2 in Nittany Lions last 7 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Hoosiers last 7 road games.

The Indiana Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a double-digit underdog. The Penn State Nittany Lions are 3-5 ATS in their last eight games as a double-digit favorite. Indiana has had an extra week to prepare for this game and is red hot offensively, topping 30 points in each of its last six games. Penn State was torched last week by Minnesota's passing game, and this also creates a weird spot with Ohio State on deck next week. Not only are the Penn State Nittany Lions dealing with the dissapointing loss, but this is also a bit of a lookahead spot with the Buckeyes around the corner. Either way, the Indiana Hoosiers are playing too well to turn down two free touchdowns.

Randy’s Pick Indiana Hoosiers +14.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.