Northwestern vs. Massachusetts - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Northwestern vs. Massachusetts - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Massachusetts Minutemen (1-9) at Northwestern Wildcats (1-8)

College Football: Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Ryan Field)

The Line: Northwestern Wildcats -38.5 -- Over/Under:

TV: BTN

The UMass Minutemen and Northwestern Wildcats meet Saturday in college football action at Ryan Field.

The UMass Minutemen need a win here to snap a five-game losing streak. The UMass Minutemen have lost all five road games this season. Randall West is completing 60.2 percent of his passes for 558 yards, four touchdown and four interceptions. West and Andrew Brito have combined for 11 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions. Jermaine Johnson Jr. and Zak Simon have combined for 566 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Samuel Emilus has 22 receptions. The UMass Minutemen ground game is averaging 126.6 yards per contest, and Bilal Ally leads the way with 660 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, UMass is allowing 53.1 points and 569.6 yards per game. Cole McCubrey leads the UMass Minutemen with 75 tackles, Dennis Osagiede has one sack and Isaiah Rodgers has four interceptions.

The Northwestern Wildcats need a win here to snap a seven-game losing streak. The Northwestern Wildcats have lost their last four home games. Hunter Johnson is completing 47.2 percent of his passes for 432 yards, one touchdown and four interceptions. Johnson and Aidan Smith have combined for 11 interceptions this season. Riley Lees and Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman have combined for 428 receiving yards and one touchdown while JJ Jefferson has 12 receptions. The Northwestern Wildcats ground game is averaging 146.7 yards per contest, and Drake Anderson leads the way with 498 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Northwestern is allowing 25.4 points and 348.3 yards per game. Blake Gallagher leads the Northwestern Wildcats with 72 tackles, Joe Gaziano has 6.5 sacks and Paddy Fisher has one interception. 

The Minutemen are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Wildcats are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games, 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The under is 43-16-1 in Wildcats last 60 home games. The over is 22-7 in Minutemen last 29 games overall.

The UMass Minutemen are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a double-digit underdog. The Northwestern Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a double-digit favorite. The UMass Minutemen are easily the worst defense in the country and have allowed no less than 44 points during this five-game losing streak. The Northwestern Wildcats have been held to 15 or less points in six of their seven games during their seven-game losing streak. Something has to give. You should probably seek help if considering betting this game. If forced to pick, I'd lean toward the points, as I'm not laying nearly 40 points with a Northwestern team that's clearly in a down year and can't move the football the length of my kitchen table. Please stay away for this game.

Randy’s Pick Massachusetts Minutemen +38.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.