Michigan vs. Michigan State - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports
Michigan State Spartans (4-5) at Michigan Wolverines (7-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Michigan Stadium)
The Line: Michigan Wolverines -14.5 -- Over/Under:
The Michigan State Spartans and Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in college football action at Michigan Stadium.
The Michigan State Spartans need a win here to snap a four-game losing streak. The Michigan State Spartans have lost two of their last three road games. Brian Lewerke is completing 55.7 percent of his passes for 2,012 yards, 12 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Lewerke has one or less touchdown passes in 10 of his last 13 games. Darrell Stewart Jr. and Cody White have combined for 1,221 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Matt Seybert has 19 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 130.8 yards per contest, and Elijah Collins leads the way with 715 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 23.6 points and 323 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 71 tackles, Kenny Willekes has 5.5 sacks and Josiah Scott has two interceptions.
The Michigan Wolverines look to stay hot after winning five of their last six games. The Michigan Wolverines haven’t lost a home game since November of 2017. Shea Patterson is completing 57.2 percent of his passes for 1,773 yards, 12 touchdowns and four interceptions. Patterson has two or more touchdown passes in nine of his last 17 games. Ronnie Bell and Nico Collins have combined for 910 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Tarik Black has 20 receptions. The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 170.6 yards per contest, and Zach Charbonnet leads the way with 559 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 17.1 points and 266.2 yards per game. Khaleke Hudson leads the Michigan Wolverines with 77 tackles, Josh Uche has 7.5 sacks and Ambry Thomas has two interceptions.
The Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Michigan and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings. The over is 12-4 in Wolverines last 16 home games. The under is 13-4 in Spartans last 17 games overall.
The Michigan State Spartans are 7-5 ATS in their last 12 games as a double-digit underdog. The Michigan Wolverines are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a double-digit favorite. Michigan State is coming off a brutal loss to Illinois where it was outscored in the fourth quarter by 24 points, the type of loss that can have guys check out for the rest of the season. Michigan has had an extra week to prepare for this game and has put together its most complete performances in its last two games. This is a rivalry game and there's a history of these games coming down to the wire, but I don't want to back the Spartans after what happened last week and the Michigan Wolverines are rested and playing their best ball of the season. It's Michigan in a beatdown or pass.