Iowa vs. Minnesota - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Minnesota Golden Gophers (9-0) at Iowa Hawkeyes (6-3)
College Football: Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 4:00 pm (Kinnick Stadium)
The Line: Iowa Hawkeyes -2.5 -- Over/Under:
The Minnesota Golden Gophers and Iowa Hawkeyes meet Saturday in college football action at Kinnick Stadium.
The Minnesota Golden Gophers look to improve to 10-0 on the season and remain in the CFB playoff conversation. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have won their last four road games. Tanner Morgan is completing 67.9 percent of his passes for 2,100 yards, 21 touchdowns and four interceptions. Morgan has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last eight games. Rashod Bateman and Tyler Johnson have combined for 1,577 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while Chris Autman-Bell has 20 receptions. The Minnesota Golden Gophers ground game is averaging 195.2 yards per contest, and Rodney Smith leads the way with 940 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 20.7 points and 309.8 yards per game. Antoine Winfield Jr. leads the Minnesota Golden Gophers with 57 tackles, Carter Coughlin has 4.5 sacks and Kamal Martin has two interceptions.
The Iowa Hawkeyes look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won four of their last five home games. Nate Stanley is completing 60.7 percent of his passes for 2,158 yards, 12 touchdowns and five interceptions. Stanley has three or more touchdown passes in six of his last 18 games. Ihmir Smith-Marsette and Tyrone Tracy Jr. have combined for 926 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Brandon Smith has 33 receptions. The Iowa Hawkeyes ground game is averaging 139.2 yards per contest, and Mekhi Sargent leads the way with 464 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa is allowing 11.7 points and 288.9 yards per game. Jack Koerner leads the Iowa Hawkeyes with 50 tackles, A.J. Epenesa has 4.5 sacks and Michael Ojemudia has two interceptions.
The Golden Gophers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 conference games, 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Golden Gophers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iowa and the underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 6-1-1 in Hawkeyes last 8 games overall. The over is 6-2 in Golden Gophers last 8 games overall.
The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 3-1 ATS in their last four games as a road underdog. The Iowa Hawkeyes are 2-4 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. The Minnesota Golden Gophers fattened our pockets last week with an outright win over Penn State, and I'm not sure what else they have to do to earn respect from oddsmakers. Morgan is getting better each week at QB and the defense is solid with a playmaking secondary. Iowa has been tripped up in three of its last five games and the offense has been held to 20 or less points in four of its last seven games. The Minnesota Golden Gophers are the better team and have to be thinking possible playoffs at this point. I'll gladly take the free points with the Gophers again.