California vs. USC - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

California vs. USC - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

USC Trojans (6-4) at California Golden Bears (5-4)

College Football: Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 11:00 pm (California Memorial Stadium)

The Line: California Golden Bears +6.5 -- Over/Under: 47.5

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The USC Trojans and the California Golden Bears match up in college football Pac-12 action Saturday. 

USC is 6-4 so far. The Trojans have losses to BYU, Washington, Notre Dame and Oregon but they’ve beaten Fresno State, Stanford, Utah, Arizona, Colorado and Arizona State. 

In the win over the Sun Devils, USC quarterback Kedon Slovis managed 432 yards and four touchdowns. Amon-Ra St. Brown had 173 yards and a TD from eight catches, and Michael Pittman had 13 for 146 yards. 

Over on the California side, they’re 5-4 so far. The Bears have losses to Arizona State, Oregon, Oregon State and Utah with wins to UC Davis, Washington, North Texas, Mississippi and Washington State. 

In the win over the Cougars, Cal QB Devon Modster had 230 yards with three scores, and Christopher Brown had 95 yards and a TD rushing. Makai Polk added 71 yards and a score on three receptions. 

The Trojans are 5-2-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 road games. USC is 10-22-2 ATS in their last 34 overall and 2-7 ATS in their last nine on turf. 

Meanwhile, the Bears are 8-0 ATS in their last eight in November and 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Cal is 0-4 ATS in their last four after an ATS win and the under is 4-0 in their last four after an ATS win. 

USC is 3-1 over their last four games, but two of those have been decided by a score or less. Offense-wise, the Trojans are playing pretty well these days, with at least 24 points in each of their last five. 

As for Cal, they had 17 or fewer in four straight games before hanging 33 on Washington State, and I don’t think they’ll be able to keep up on the scoreboard here. I’m going Trojans. 

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Andrew’s Pick USC Trojans -6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.