Boise State vs. New Mexico - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Boise State vs. New Mexico - 11/16/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brian Losness-USA TODAY Sports

New Mexico Lobos (2-7) at Boise State Broncos (8-1)

College Football: Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 10:15 pm (Albertsons Stadium)

The Line: Boise State Broncos -27 -- Over/Under:

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The New Mexico Lobos and Boise State Broncos meet Saturday in college football action at Albertsons Stadium.

The New Mexico Lobos could use a win to snap a six-game losing streak. The New Mexico Lobos have lost eight straight road games. Tevaka Tuioti is completing 52.1 percent of his passes for 1,250 yards, seven touchdowns and six interceptions. Sheriron Jones and Tuioti have combined for nine touchdowns and 13 interceptions this season. Jordan Kress and Marcus Williams have combined for 822 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Anselem Umeh has 16 receptions. The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 200.2 yards per contest, and Ahmari Davis leads the way with 823 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 35.8 points and 490.1 yards per game. Alex Hart leads the New Mexico Lobos with 63 tackles, Jacobi Hearn has six sacks and Jerrick Reed II has one interception. 

The Boise State Broncos look for another win to stay in the race for a MWC title. The Boise State Broncos have won 10 of their last 12 home games. Hank Bachmeier is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 1,760 yards, nine touchdowns and four interceptions. Bachmeier and Chase Cord have combined for 18 touchdowns and seven interceptions. John Hightower and Khalil Shakir have combined for 1,149 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while CT Thomas has 26 receptions. The Boise State Broncos ground game is averaging 168.5 yards per contest, and George Holani leads the way with 619 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Boise State is allowing 22.7 points and 343.1 yards per game. Riley Whimpey leads the Boise State Broncos with 49 tackles, Curtis Weaver has 12.5 sacks and Kekoa Nawahine has two interceptions. 

The Lobos are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games, 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games and 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Broncos are 6-1-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Lobos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Boise State and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The under is 23-9 in Broncos last 32 home games. The under is 5-1 in Lobos last 6 games overall.

The New Mexico Lobos are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a double-digit underdog. The Boise State Broncos are 4-4 ATS in their last eight games as a double-digit favorite. New Mexico may be riding a six-game losing streak and may have ugly numbers defensively, but the Lobos have lost each of those games by 14 or less points. The New Mexico Lobos compete. Boise State nearly lost outright last week as double-digit home favorites and has been in dogfights overall each of their last three games. Boise State simply doesn't have the horses offensively to run away in games these days. Give me the four free touchdowns.

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Randy’s Pick New Mexico Lobos +27

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.