Miami-OH vs. Bowling Green - 11/13/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami-OH vs. Bowling Green - 11/13/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

Bowling Green Falcons (3-6) at Miami-OH RedHawks (5-4)

College Football: Wednesday, November 13, 2019 at 8:00 pm (Fred C. Yager Stadium)

The Line: Miami-OH RedHawks -18 -- Over/Under: 52

TV: ESPNU

The Bowling Green Falcons and the Miami-Ohio RedHawks meet in week 12 college football MAC-tion from Fred C. Yager Stadium on Wednesday night.

The Bowling Green Falcons will look to build on a 35-6 win over Akron in their last outing. Grant Loy leads Bowling Green in passing with 792 yards along with 5 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 57.9% passing while also leading the Falcons in rushing with 363 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. Bryson Denley is 2nd in rushing with 358 rushing yards and Davon Jones has 334 rushing yards while Andrew Clair has 244 rushing yards this season. Quinton Morris leads Bowling Green’s receiving corps with 44 catches for 515 yards and 3 touchdowns this year. Brandon Perce leads the Bowling Green defense with 89 total tackles and Kholbe Coleman has 80 total tackles while Karl Brooks and Nico Lautanen each have a team-high 3.5 sacks this season. As a team, Bowling Green is averaging 328.7 yards of total offense and 17.6 points per game while allowing 442.9 yards of total defense and 33.8 points per game against this season.

The Miami-Ohio RedHawks will look to build on 3 straight wins and victories in 4 of their last 5 games following a 24-21 road win over Ohio in their last outing. Brett Gabbert has thrown for 1,509 yards, 6 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 53.3% passing while Tyre Shelton has a team-high 356 rushing yards and Jaylon Bester has 351 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns. James Maye leads the RedHawks with 298 receiving yards while Dominique Robinson has 290 receiving yards and Jalen Walker has 15 catches for 288 yards this season. Defensively, Ryan McWood leads Miami-Ohio with 70 total tackles while Sterling Weatherford has 66 total tackles and Myles Reid has 62 total tackles. Lonnie Phelps leads the RedHawks with 4 sacks this year while Travion Banks and Mike Brown each have a pair of interceptions this season. As a team, Miami-Ohio is averaging 296.7 yards of total offense and 22.7 points per game while allowing 393.1 yards of total defense and 31.7 points per game against this season.

Bowling Green is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 12-2 in their last 14 games overall. Miami-Ohio is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 conference games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a win. Bowling Green is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams at Miami-Ohio.

Miami-Ohio isn’t usually a team I’d associate this type of line with, but the fact is that Bowling Green has been atrocious on the road to say the least, losing each of their four road games by at least 39 points, and by an average of 46.2 points per game, being outscored 185-30 on the road this year. The RedHawks have to keep winning if they want to book their spot in the Mac conference championship game in a couple of weeks, and I think against Bowling Green at home, the RedHawks should take one step closer in convincing fashion, so I’ll lay the points with the RedHawks here.

Chris’s Pick Miami-Ohio -18

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.