Wisconsin vs. Iowa - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Iowa Hawkeyes (6-2) at Wisconsin Badgers (6-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 4:00 pm (Camp Randall Stadium)
The Line: Wisconsin Badgers -10 -- Over/Under:
The Iowa Hawkeyes and Wisconsin Badgers meet Saturday in college football action at Camp Randall Stadium.
The Iowa Hawkeyes look for a statement road win after splitting their last four games. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won two of their last three road games. Nate Stanley is completing 60.7 percent of his passes for 1,950 yards, 10 touchdowns and five interceptions. Stanley has three or more touchdown passes in six of his last 17 games. Ihmir Smith-Marsette and Brandon Smith have combined for 870 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Tyrone Tracy Jr. has 17 receptions. The Iowa Hawkeyes ground game is averaging 145.7 yards per contest, and Mekhi Sargent leads the way with 443 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa is allowing 10.1 points and 265.9 yards per game. Kristian Welch leads the Iowa Hawkeyes with 47 tackles, A.J. Epenesa has 3.5 sacks and Michael Ojemudia has two interceptions.
The Wisconsin Badgers need a victory here after back-to-back losses. The Wisconsin Badgers have won their last five home games. Jack Coan is completing 74.5 percent of his passes for 1,491 yards, 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. Coan has one or less touchdown passes in each of his last five games. Quintez Cephus and Jake Ferguson have combined for 657 receiving yards and five touchdowns while AJ Taylor has 18 receptions. The Wisconsin Badgers ground game is averaging 216.3 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 1,009 yards and 15 touchdowns. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing 11.4 points and 223.5 yards per game. Jack Sanborn leads the Wisconsin Badgers with 46 tackles, Chris Orr has nine sacks and Eric Burrell has two interceptions.
The Hawkeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. The Badgers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games. The Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Wisconsin and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The under is 5-0 in Badgers last 5 games overall. The under is 6-0-1 in Hawkeyes last 7 games overall.
The Iowa Hawkeyes are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a double-digit underdog. The Wisconsin Badgers are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games as a double-digit favorite. Wisconsin has won six of the last seven meetings against Iowa and has covered five of its last seven meetings. However, we're getting a free 10 points with an Iowa team that controls the tempo, runs the ball well and plays defense. Iowa rarely gets blown out and its two losses this season came against two of the better teams in the Big Ten by a combined 12 points. The Wisconsin Badgers lost to Illinois as 30-plus point underdogs and got smoked by Ohio State, so it's fair to say it's hardto get behind the Badgers with confidence. Give me Iowa and the points.