SMU vs. East Carolina - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

SMU vs. East Carolina - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

East Carolina Pirates (3-6) at SMU Mustangs (8-1)

College Football: Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)

The Line: SMU Mustangs -24 -- Over/Under:

TV: ESPNU

The East Carolina Pirates and SMU Mustangs meet Saturday in college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

The East Carolina Pirates could use a win here to snap a four-game losing streak. The East Carolina Pirates have lost three of their last four road games. Holton Ahlers is completing 56.6 percent of his passes for 2,207 yards, 11 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Ahlers has five touchdown passes in his last three games. C.J. Johnson and Blake Proehl have combined for 1,163 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Tyler Snead has 24 receptions. The East Carolina Pirates ground game is averaging 148.8 yards per contest, and Demetrius Mauney leads the way with 390 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, East Carolina is allowing 30.2 points and 425 yards per game. Xavier Smith leads the East Carolina Pirates with 62 tackles, Kendall Futrell has nine sacks and Gerard Stringer has two interceptions.  

The SMU Mustangs look for a bounce back showing to build on their 8-1 record. The SMU Mustangs have won five of their last six home games. Shane Buechele is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 2,781 yards, 23 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Buechele has two or more touchdown passes in each of his last eight games. James Proche and Reggie Roberson Jr. have combined for 1,644 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns while Kylen Granson has 26 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 191 yards per contest, and Xavier Jones leads the way with 906 yards and 15 touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 30 points and 401.7 yards per game. Richard McBryde leads the SMU Mustangs with 65 tackles, Patrick Nelson has 9.5 sacks and Rodney Clemons has four interceptions. 

The Pirates are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games, 12-32-1 ATS in their last 45 conference games and 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall. The Mustangs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November. The Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 8-1 in Mustangs last 9 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 conference games.

The East Carolina Pirates are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a double-digit road underdog. The SMU Mustangs are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games as a double-digit home underdog. The East Carolina Pirates have allowed 40-plus points in each of their last three games and are losing their last four games by an average of 12.75 points. The SMU Mustangs aren't the best defensive team in the world as they showed last week, but they can score in bunches and will look to take out some frustration with the way last week went down. SMU should have a field day in this game offensively and ECU has had issues covering in the underdog role for years. It's SMU in a blowout or pass.

Randy’s Pick SMU Mustangs -24

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.