New Mexico vs. Air Force - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Troy Babbitt-USA TODAY Sports
Air Force Falcons (7-2) at New Mexico Lobos (2-7)
College Football: Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 2:00 pm (Dreamstyle Stadium)
The Line: New Mexico Lobos +21.5 -- Over/Under:
The Air Force Falcons and New Mexico Lobos meet Saturday in college football action at Dreamstyle Stadium.
The Air Force Falcons look for another win to build on their four-game winning streak. The Air Force Falcons have split their last four road games. Donald Hammond III is completing 45.8 percent of his passes for 712 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. Air Force quarterbacks have six touchdown passes and four interceptions this season. Geraud Sanders and Benjamin Waters have combined for 814 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Kade Waguespack has five receptions. The Air Force Falcons ground game is averaging 323.1 yards per contest, and Kadin Remsberg leads the way with 677 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 20.9 points and 313.3 yards per game. Demonte Meeks leads the Air Force Falcons with 64 tackles, Jordan Jackson has 3.5 sacks and Milton Bugg III has three interceptions.
The New Mexico Lobos need a win here to snap a six-game losing streak. The New Mexico Lobos have split their last four home games. Tevaka Tuioti is completing 52.1 percent of his passes for 1,250 yards, seven touchdowns and six interceptions. Sheriron Jones and Tuioti have combined for nine touchdowns and 13 interceptions this season. Jordan Kress and Marcus Williams have combined for 822 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Anselem Umeh has 16 receptions. The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 200.2 yards per contest, and Ahmari Davis leads the way with 823 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 35.8 points and 490.1 yards per game. Alex Hart leads the New Mexico Lobos with 63 tackles, Jacobi Hearn has six sacks and Jerrick Reed II has one interception.
The Falcons are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games on grass, 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 conference games and 3-10 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Lobos are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games, 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games and 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 5-1 in Lobos last 6 games overall. The over is 18-8 in Falcons last 26 road games.
The Air Force Falcons are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a double-digit road favorite. The New Mexico Lobos are 6-6 ATS in their last 12 games as a double-digit home favorite. The Air Force Falcons have been running all over teams and are finishing drives while the defense has given up a combined 20 points in their last two games. The New Mexico Lobos have been held to 10 points in three of their last six games and still have one of the worst defenses in the country. New Mexico also isn't covering numbers despite being big underdogs every week. I have no choice but to lay the points with Air Force, as the Falcons could easily top 50 points in this game.