Michigan State vs. Illinois - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Michigan State vs. Illinois - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Illinois Fighting Illini (5-4) at Michigan State Spartans (4-4)

College Football: Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 3:30 pm (Spartan Stadium)

The Line: Michigan State Spartans -11.5 -- Over/Under:

TV: FS1

The Illinois Fighting Illini and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday in college football action at Spartan Stadium.

The Illinois Fighting Illini look for another victory to build on their three-game winning streak. The Illinois Fighting Illini have won two of their last three road games. Brandon Peters is completing 55.8 percent of his passes for 1,117 yards, 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. Peters has six touchdown passes and three interceptions in his last six games. Josh Imatorbhebhe and Ricky Smalling have combined for 645 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Daniel Barker has 12 receptions. The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 163 yards per contest, and Reggie Corbin leads the way with 577 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 24.8 points and 396.6 yards per game. Dele Harding leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 106 tackles, Oluwole Betiku Jr. has eight sacks and Tony Adams has two interceptions.

The Michigan State Spartans need a win here to snap a three-game losing streak. The Michigan State Spartans have split their last four home games. Brian Lewerke is completing 56.1 percent of his passes for 1,761 yards, 11 touchdowns and four interceptions. Lewerke has one or less touchdown passes in nine of his last 12 games. Darrell Stewart Jr. and Cody White have combined for 1,093 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Matt Seybert has 16 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 112.8 yards per contest, and Elijah Collins leads the way with 545 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 21.9 points and 312.8 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 71 tackles, Kenny Willekes has four sacks and Josiah Scott has two interceptions. 

The Fighting Illini are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Spartans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Fighting Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Michigan State and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 meetings. The under is 13-3 in Spartans last 16 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Fighting Illini last 5 games overall.

The Illinois Fighting Illini are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a double-digit road underdog. The Michigan State Spartans are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as a double-digit home favorite. The Illinois Fighting Illini have been a different team since their big upset over Wisconsin, and they're now a win away from clinching their first bowl bid since 2014. The Michigan State Spartans have scored a combined 17 points during their three-game losing streak and are quite banged up on the offensive side of the ball, which includes star receiver Darrell Stewart Jr. being questionable for this contest. Illinois enters this game with a ton of confidence and MSU doesn't have the offensive firepower to pull away. Give me the points.

Randy’s Pick Illinois Fighting Illini +11.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.