Louisiana-Monroe vs. Georgia State - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports
Georgia State Panthers (6-2) at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (3-5)
College Football: Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 5:00 pm (JPS Field at James L. Malone Stadium)
The Line: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +2.5 -- Over/Under: 74
The Georgia State Panthers and the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks meet in a week 11 Sun Belt conference college football clash from Malone Stadium on Saturday.
The Georgia State Panthers will look to keep the momentum going after making it four wins in a row with a 52-33 win over Troy in their last outing. Dan Ellington leads Georgia State with 1,771 passing yards, 18 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 66.4% passing while Tra Barnett leads the Panthers on the ground with 928 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. The aforementioned Ellington has 512 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns while Seth Paige has 405 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns of his own this season. Cornelius McCoy leads Georgia State’s receiving corps with 43 catches for 477 yards and 4 touchdowns while Sam Pinckney has 35 grabs for 429 yards and a team-high 5 touchdowns. Roger Carter, Jonathan Ifedi, Aubry Payne and Devin Guidry each have 100+ receiving yards this season. Defensively, Trajan Stephens-McQueen leads Georgia State with 74 total tackles including a team-high 37 solo tackles while also recording a pair of interceptions. Ed Curney and Dontae Wilson each have 3 sacks this season. As a team, Georgia State is averaging 478.6 yards of total offense and 36.6 points per game while allowing 448.6 yards of total defense and 34.9 points per game against this season.
The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will look to bounce back from back-to-back losses after a 48-41 loss to Arkansas State in their last outing. Caleb Evans has thrown for 1,687 yards, 12 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 60.6% passing while coming 2nd in rushing with 511 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. Josh Johnson leads the Warhawks with 849 rushing yards along with 7 TDs while Markis McCray leads ULM with 363 receiving yards. Josh Pederson has a team-high 31 catches for 351 yards and 6 TDs while Jonathan Hodoh has 235 receiving yards and Zach Jackson, Xavier Brown and Brandius Batiste each have 100+ receiving yards this season. Defensively, Cortez Sisco Jr. leads ULM with 61 total tackles including a team-high 28 solo tackles while Donald Louis Jr. has a team-high 5.5 sacks and Corey Straughter has a team-high 5 interceptions this season. As a team, Louisiana-Monroe is averaging 430 yards of total offense and 28.8 points per game while allowing 496.1 yards of total defense and 38.6 points per game against this season.
Georgia State is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games while the under is 14-5 in their last 19 games against a team with a losing record. Louisiana-Monroe is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 conference games.
A home dog is reasonably tempting, especially with this being a logical look-ahead spot for Georgia State with Appalachian State on deck for essentially the Sun Belt East division and the spot in the championship game. However, ULM hasn’t covered a spread at home this season and that includes wins over South Alabama and Grambling State. I think if you take the points here, you’re saying that ULM wins this game outright and I don’t see that happening as the Panthers know how much next week’s matchup means but the Panthers know for that to be the case, they have to win to keep up, so I’ll lay the points with Georgia State on the road here.