Kentucky vs. Tennessee - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Mark Zerof-USA TODAY Sports
Tennessee Volunteers (4-5) at Kentucky Wildcats (4-4)
College Football: Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 7:30 pm (Kroger Field)
The Line: Kentucky Wildcats -2.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5
The Tennessee Volunteers and the Kentucky Wildcats meet in a week 11 SEC college football tilt from Kroger Field on Saturday night.
The Tennessee Volunteers will look to build some steam and get back to .500 after a 30-7 beatdown of UAB gave Tennessee back-to-back wins and victories in 3 of their last 4 games. Jarrett Guarantano has thrown for 1,287 yards, 11 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 60.9% passing while Ty Chandler has rushed for 569 yards and 3 touchdowns. Tim Jordan has 301 rushing yards and Eric Gray has logged 202 yards on the ground while Jauan Jennings leads the Vols in receiving with 47 catches for 722 yards and 7 touchdowns. Marquez Callaway has 18 catches for 384 yards and 4 touchdowns while Josh Palmer and Dominick Wood-Anderson each have 100+ receiving yards this season. Defensively, Nigel Warrior leads Tennessee with 50 total tackles including a team-high 26 solo tackles as well as 3 interceptions while Darrell Taylor has a team-high 6 sacks this season. As a team, Tennessee is averaging 349 yards of total offense and 24.7 points per game while allowing 351 yards of total defense and 24.1 points per game against this season.
The Kentucky Wildcats will look to build on a 29-7 win over Missouri in their last outing to get to 4-4 on the year. Sawyet Smith has thrown for 674 yards, 4 touchdowns and 5 interceptions while Lynn Bowden Jr. has rushed for a team-high 598 rushing yards with 4 rushing TDs. Asim Rose has 508 rushing yards and 3 TDs while Kavosley Smoke has 341 rushing yards and 4 rushing scores this season. Bowden Jr. also leads the Wildcats in receiving with 30 catches for 348 yards while Ahmad Wagner has 249 receiving yards and Josh Ali and Justin Rigg each have 100+ receiving yards this season. Defensively, Yusuf Corker leads Kentucky with 57 total tackles including a team-high 38 solo tackles while DeAndre Square is right behind with 56 total tackles and 1.5 sacks. Calvin Taylor Jr. has a team-high 5 sacks while Jamar Watson has 3.5 sacks as well this season. As a team, Kentucky is averaging 355.8 yards of total offense and 21.2 points per game while allowing 356.5 yards of total defense and 21.2 points per game against this season.
Tennessee is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. Kentucky is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games while the under is 12-2 in their last 14 conference games. Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
The Vols getting back on track with a couple of wins is definitely a good thing, but the issue I have is that all 3 of their recent wins came at home, and on the road this season, albeit against Alabama and Florida, the Vols have been outscored 69-16. Kentucky isn’t that kind of firepower, but the Wildcats can grind you down and wear you out and are also 5-0 ATS at home this season. Both teams need the win to take a step towards bowl eligibility, but at home, the Wildcats are easier to trust as opposed to Tennessee on the road, so I’ll lay the points with the Wildcats in this one.