Georgia vs. Missouri - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Missouri Tigers (5-3) at Georgia Bulldogs (7-1)
College Football: Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 7:00 pm (Sanford Stadium)
The Line: Georgia Bulldogs -21 -- Over/Under: 48.5
The Missouri Tigers and the Georgia Bulldogs meet in a week 11 SEC conference college football showdown from Sanford Stadium on Saturday night.
The Missouri Tigers will look to rebound from back-to-back losses after a 29-7 defeat at the hands of Kentucky in their last outing. Kelly Bryant has thrown for 1,845 yards, 14 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 62.2% passing while Larry Rountree III leads Missouri in rushing with 644 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. Tyler Badie has 342 rushing yards and Dawson Downing and the previously mentioned Bryant each have 200+ rushing yards this season. Jonathan Nance leads Missouri with 307 receiving yards while Badie, Johnathon Johnson, Kam Scott, Albert Okwuegbunam and Jalen Knox each have 200+ receiving yards with Okwuegbunam logging 250 yards and 6 touchdowns this season. Defensively, Nick Bolton leads Missouri with 66 total tackles including a team-high 47 solo tackles as well as a pair of interceptions while Cale Garrett has 3 interceptions and Kobie Whiteside has a team-high 5 sacks this year. As a team, Missouri is averaging 428.5 yards of total offense and 31.8 points per game while allowing 281.4 yards of total defense and 18.1 points per game against this season.
The Georgia Bulldogs will look to build on back-to-back victories after a crucial 24-17 win over Florida in their last outing. Jake Fromm has thrown for 1,685 yards, 11 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 70.1% passing while D’Andre Swift has rushed for a team-high 838 yards and 7 touchdowns and Brian Herrien is 2nd with 324 rushing yards and 5 rushing TDs. Lawrence Cager leads Georgia with 37 receiving yards, 26 catches and 4 touchdowns while George Pickens has 322 yards. Demetris Robinson and Dominick Blaylock each have 200+ receiving yards and 3 touchdowns this year. Defensively, Monty Rice leads Georgia with 50 total tackles while Azeez Ojulari has a team-high 4.5 sacks this season. As a team, Georgia is averaging 463.5 yards of total offense and 34.5 points per game while allowing just 268.5 yards of total defense and 11.4 points per game against, the 4th-lowest scoring defense in the country this season.
Missouri is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Georgia is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 conference games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Missouri is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
I get Georgia being a heavy favorite at home, but this spot to me just screams letdown. The Bulldogs are fresh off of that huge, emotional win over Florida that was basically a playoff eliminator and puts Georgia in the drivers’ seat in the SEC East. Georgia also has a key date on the road against Auburn next week. Missouri has had a couple of tough outings, but there’s still some solid talent there especially with Kelly Bryant under center. I just think this is a case of laying way too many points, so I’ll take a shot with Missouri and the points in this one.