Fresno State vs. Utah State - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
Utah State Aggies (4-4) at Fresno State Bulldogs (4-4)
College Football: Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 7:00 pm (Bulldog Stadium)
The Line: Fresno State Bulldogs -3 -- Over/Under: 58.5
The Utah State Aggies and the Fresno State Bulldogs meet in a week 11 Mountain West conference tilt from Bulldog Stadium on Saturday.
The Utah State Aggies will look to rebound after back-to-back losses following a 42-14 beatdown at the hands of in-state rival BYU last time out. Jordan Love has thrown for 2,014 yards, 9 touchdowns and 12 interceptions on 59.7% passing while Gerold Bright leads Utah State in rushing with 535 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns and Jaylen Warren has 414 rushing yards and 4 TDs. Siaosi Mariner leads Utah State in receiving with 34 catches for 527 yards and 4 touchdowns while Jordan Nathan has 341 receiving yards and Deven Thompkins, Savon Scarver and Caleb Repp each have 200+ receiving yards this season. Defensively, David Woodward leads Utah State with 93 total tackles including 53 solo tackles while Nick Heninger has a team-high 3 sacks this season. As a team, Utah State is averaging 421.1 yards of total offense and 27.1 points per game while allowing 444 yards of total defense and 26.4 points per game against this season.
The Fresno State Bulldogs will look to find some consistency after alternating wins and losses in each of their last five games after a 41-38 win over Hawaii last time out. Jorge Reyna has thrown for 1,743 yards, 11 touchdowns and 6 picks on 63.1% passing while Ronnie Rivers leads Fresno State in rushing with 553 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. Jalen Cropper has 326 rushing yards while Jorge Reyna and Josh Hokit each have 200+ rushing yards with Hokit logging 8 rushing TDs as well. Zane Pope leads Fresno’s receiving group with 336 receiving yards while Derrion Grim has 289 receiving yards with 3 touchdowns and Keric Wheatfall has 229 receiving yards followed by 6 other Fresno State receivers with at least 100+ receiving yards this season. Defensively, Justin Rice leads Fresno State with 78 total tackles, including 45 solo tackles while Kevin Atkins leads the Bulldogs with 3 sacks and a trio of Bulldogs each have a team-high 2 interceptions this season. As a team, Fresno State is averaging 415.4 yards of total offense and 34.2 points per game while allowing 409.6 yards of total defense and 31.9 points per game against this season.
Utah State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 conference games. Fresno State is 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 home games and 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 conference games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Utah State is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
Part of me wants to take Utah State because they’re capable of hanging offensively based on the talent on the team, but the fact is that the Aggies have put up a couple of duds in recent weeks against BYU and Air Force. The Aggies have been outscored 73-13 in their last two road games as well. Now one of those games was against LSU, but still, the Aggies have got to improve on the road before I take them with a low amount of points on the other side. Fresno State has been up and down, but the Bulldogs have been on more often than not offensively this season, and should be able to win this one by at least a field goal, so I’ll lay the points with the Bulldogs in this one.