BYU vs. Liberty - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

BYU vs. Liberty - 11/9/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Casey Sapio-USA TODAY Sports

Liberty Flames (6-3) at BYU Cougars (4-4)

College Football: Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 7:30 pm (LaVell Edwards Stadium)

The Line: BYU Cougars -17.5 -- Over/Under:

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The Liberty Flames and BYU Cougars meet Saturday in college football action at LaVell Edwards Stadium.

The Liberty Flames look for another victory after winning six of their last seven games. The Liberty Flames have split their last four road games. Stephen Calvert is completing 61.7 percent of his passes for 2,698 yards, 20 touchdowns and three interceptions. Calvert has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last seven games. Antonio Gandy-Golden and DJ Stubbs have combined for 1,430 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Kevin Shaa has 24 receptions. The Liberty Flames ground game is averaging 144.4 yards per contest, and Joshua Mack leads the way with 581 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Liberty is allowing 26.1 points and 419.1 yards per game. Solomon Ajayi leads the Liberty Flames with 64 tackles, Jessie Lemonier has 8.5 sacks and Bejour Wilson has two interceptions.

The BYU Cougars need a victory here to get a game above a .500 record. The BYU Cougars have split their last four home games. Zach Wilson is completing 61.7 percent of his passes for 1,312 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. Wilson and Baylor Romney have combined for nine touchdown passes and five interceptions. Matt Bushman and Aleva Hifo have combined for 742 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Micah Simon has 25 receptions. The BYU Cougars ground game is averaging 133.7 yards per contest, and Ty'Son Williams leads the way with 264 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, BYU is allowing 27.8 points and 419.8 yards per game. Kavika Fonua leads the BYU Cougars with 61 tackles, Lorenzo Fauatea has two sacks and Payton Wilgar has three interceptions.

The Flames are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass, 16-7 ATS in their last 23 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. The Cougars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win, 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games in November and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The over is 3-1-1 in Cougars last 5 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Flames last 7 games overall.

The Liberty Flames are 3-3 ATS in their last six games as a double-digit underdog. The BYU Cougars are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a double-digit home favorite. The Liberty Flames continue to light it up offensively and win/cover games in the process, and Calvert is one of the better quarterbacks majority of the country doesn't know. The BYU Cougars has rebounded from three straight losses with back-to-back wins, but the offense can still be hit or miss and this isn't the same physical defense we're used to seeing this program have. Liberty can score points with the best of them and isn't going to be intimated traveling to the mountains. Give me the truckload of points.


Randy’s Pick Liberty Flames +17.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.