Tulsa vs. UCF - 11/8/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tulsa vs. UCF - 11/8/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports

UCF Knights (7-2) at Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-7)

College Football: Friday, November 8, 2019 at 7:00 pm (Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium)

The Line: Tulsa Golden Hurricane +16 -- Over/Under:

TV: ESPN2

The UCF Knights and Tulsa Golden Hurricane meet Friday in college football action at Chapman Stadium.

The UCF Knights look for another win to build on their three-game winning streak. The UCF Knights have split their last four road games. Dillon Gabriel is completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 2,516 yards, 23 touchdowns and five interceptions. Gabriel has nine touchdown passes and three interceptions in his last four games. Gabriel Davis and Tre Nixon have combined for 1,589 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns while Marlon Williams has 25 receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 226.1 yards per contest, and Otis Anderson leads the way with 543 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing 22.4 points and 348.1 yards per game. Nate Evans leads the UCF Knights with 71 tackles, Brendon Hayes has 6.5 sacks and Aaron Robinson has three interceptions. 

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane could use a win here to snap a five-game losing streak. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have lost three of their last four home games. Zach Smith is completing 54.7 percent of his passes for 2,440 yards, 12 touchdowns and six interceptions. Smith has three touchdown passes and two interceptions in his last four games. Keylon Stokes and Sam Crawford Jr. have combined for 1,304 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Keenen Johnson has 31 receptions. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane ground game is averaging 131.5 yards per contest, and Shamari Brooks leads the way with 753 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Tulsa is allowing 33 points and 407.3 yards per game. Cooper Edmiston leads the Tulsa Golden Hurricane with 77 tackles, Trevis Gipson has five sacks and Reggie Robinson II has three interceptions. 

The Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Golden Hurricane are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS loss and 16-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the favorite is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Golden Hurricane last 5 games overall. The over is 6-1 in Knights last 7 games overall.

The UCF Knights are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a double-digit road favorite. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 games as a double-digit home underdog. UCF seems to be back on track with that explosive offense and has now topped 40 points in seven of its nine games overall this season. Tulsa is competing, as four of its losses during this five-game losing streak have been decided by 12 or less points. The problem is Tulsa just can't get out of its own way and games against the better teams in the conference tend to get ugly. This is a lot of points to lay, but the UCF Knights have covered these numbers left and right over the years. No reason to shy away now.

Randy’s Pick UCF Knights -16

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.