Toledo vs. Kent State - 11/5/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toledo vs. Kent State - 11/5/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Kent State Golden Flashes (3-5) at Toledo Rockets (5-3)

College Football: Tuesday, November 5, 2019 at 7:00 pm (Glass Bowl)

The Line: Toledo Rockets -7.5 -- Over/Under:

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The Kent State Golden Flashes and Toledo Rockets meet Tuesday in college football action at the Glass Bowl.

The Kent State Golden Flashes could use a win after losing four of their last six games. The Kent State Golden Flashes have lost four of their last five road games. Dustin Crum is completing 67 percent of his passes for 1,345 yards, 10 touchdowns and one interception. Crum has five touchdown passes in his last three games. Isaiah McKoy and Kavious Price have combined for 813 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Mike Carrigan has 20 receptions. The Kent State Golden Flashes ground game is averaging 170.7 yards per contest, and Crum leads the way with 374 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Kent State is allowing 30.9 points and 467.5 yards per game. Qwuantrezz Knight leads the Kent State Golden Flashes with 60 tackles, Theo Majette has four sacks and Jamal Parker has two interceptions.

The Toledo Rockets look for another win after winning five of their last seven games. The Toledo Rockets have won their last six home games. Mitchell Guadagni is completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 1,099 yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Guadagni has four touchdown passes in his last three games. Bryce Mitchell and Danzel McKinley-Lewis have combined for 767 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Desmond Phillips has 24 receptions. The Toledo Rockets ground game is averaging 245 yards per contest, and Bryant Koback leads the way with 985 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 28 points and 472.6 yards per game. Jordan Fisher leads the Toledo Rockets with 57 tackles, Saeed Holt has 3.5 sacks and Kahlil Robinson has three interceptions.

The Golden Flashes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games in November and 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following a bye week. The home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The under is 6-0 in Rockets last 6 Tuesday games. The over is 5-2 in Golden Flashes last 7 games in November.

The Kent State Golden Flashes are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. The Toledo Rockets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. The Kent State Golden Flashes have been held to 16 or less points in four of their eight games this season and some of their worst performances have come on the road. The Toledo Rockets have been in a ton of close games this year, but there's a clear talent gap between these clubs and there's a long history of beating up on the Golden Flashes. A win here also makes Toledo bowl eligible for the fifth time in the last six years. I'll eat the chalk. 

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Randy’s Pick Toledo Rockets -7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.