USC vs. Oregon - 11/2/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports
Oregon Ducks (7-1) at USC Trojans (5-3)
College Football: Saturday, November 2, 2019 at 8:00 pm (Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum)
The Line: USC Trojans -4.5 -- Over/Under: 62
The Oregon Ducks and the USC Trojans meet in a week 10 Pac-12 conference college football matchup from the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on Saturday night.
The Oregon Ducks will look to build on their current seven-game winning streak after a thrilling 37-35 win over Washington State in their last outing. Justin Herbert has thrown for 2,104 yards, 21 touchdowns and 1 interception on 68.3% passing while CJ Verdell leads the Ducks in rushing with 753 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns and Travis Dye is 2nd with 347 rushing yards and Cyrus Habibi-Likio has 253 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns. Jacob Breeland has 405 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns while Johnny Johnson III has 396 receiving yards and Jaylon Redd has 321 receiving yards and a team-high 7 receiving TDs. Defensively, Troy Dye leads Oregon with 38 total tackles while Jevon Holland has a team-high 4 interceptions and Verone McKinley III has 3 picks while Mase Funa has 4 sacks this season. As a team, Oregon is averaging 470.2 yards of total offense and 36 points per game while allowing 310.6 yards of total defense and 14.8 points per game against this season.
The USC Trojans will look to build on back-to-back wins after a 35-31 win over Colorado in their last outing. Kedon Slovis has thrown for 1,625 yards, 13 touchdowns and 6 interceptions while Vavae Malepeai leads USC in rushing with 406 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. Markese Stepp and Stephen Carr each have 3 rushing TDs with Stepp adding 307 rushing yards to Carr’s 266. Michael Pittman Jr. leads USC with 755 receiving yards and 7 touchdown grabs while Tyler Vaughns has 638 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. Amon-Ra St. Brown has 432 receiving yards with 4 TD grabs of his own while Drake London, the aforementioned Carr and Erik Krommenhoek each have 100+ receiving yards this season. John Houston Jr. leads the Trojans with 70 total tackles including a team-high 43 solo tackles while Drake Jackson leads USC with 3.5 sacks this year. As a team, USC is averaging 442.4 yards of total offense and 31.2 points per game while allowing 429.5 yards of total defense and 24.9 points per game against this season.
Oregon is 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 road games and 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a win while the under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games overall. USC is 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record. The favorite is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams.
Getting USC as a home dog is worth a look as the Trojans are 4-0 SU this season. The Trojans can also not afford to slip up if they want to keep pace with Utah in the Pac-12 South race. However, Oregon, despite giving up 31+ points in back-to-back weeks, managed to avoid the letdown after their big-time road win against Washington by outdueling Washington State and I just think that the Ducks are going to be the toughest test yet for this USC defense. Oregon can make a legitimate case to the playoff committee with an 11-1 record with the lone loss coming to a good Auburn team on a neutral field and a loss to USC would dent those aspirations. I’ll lay the points with Oregon on the road in this one.