UCF vs. Houston - 11/2/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports
Houston Cougars (3-5) at UCF Knights (6-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 2, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)
The Line: UCF Knights -22 -- Over/Under:
The Houston Cougars and UCF Knights meet Saturday in college football action at Spectrum Stadium.
The Houston Cougars could use a win here to save their season after losing four of their last six games. The Houston Cougars have split their last four road games. Clayton Tune is completing 53.8 percent of his passes for 715 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. D’Eriq King and Tune have combined for 11 touchdown passes and six interceptions. Marquez Stevenson and Jeremy Singleton have combined for 934 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Keith Corbin has 11 receptions. The Houston Cougars ground game is averaging 206.7 yards per contest, and Kyle Porter leads the way with 479 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 31.1 points and 459.6 yards per game. Grant Stuard leads the Houston Cougars with 69 tackles, David Anenih has five sacks and Shaun Lewis has one interception.
The UCF Knights look for another win to build on their 6-2 record. The UCF Knights haven’t lost a home game since 2016. Dillon Gabriel is completing 59 percent of his passes for 2,218 yards, 20 touchdowns and five interceptions. Gabriel has six touchdown passes and three interceptions in his last three games. Gabriel Davis and Tre Nixon have combined for 1,420 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while Marlon Williams has 19 receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 233.8 yards per contest, and Otis Anderson leads the way with 513 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing 21.6 points and 339.3 yards per game. Nate Evans leads the UCF Knights with 59 tackles, Brendon Hayes has 4.5 sacks and Aaron Robinson has three interceptions.
The Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games, 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Knights are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games on grass, 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The over is 5-1 in Knights last 6 games overall. The over is 6-1-1 in Cougars last 8 road games.
The Houston Cougars have covered each of their last 10 games as a double-digit underdog. The UCF Knights have covered 10 of their last 14 games as a double-digit favorite. We know what UCF is capable of at home where the Knights often cover big numbers and can be freakishly good on the offensive end. However, the Houston Cougars rarely get blown out and have proven themselves all season against respectable competition, which includes just a three-point loss last week to a ranked SMU club. Houston is good enough to hang around like it has all year, and you have to go back to 2002 the last time the Cougars didn't cover as double-digit dogs. Give me the points.