Nevada vs. New Mexico - 11/2/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
New Mexico Lobos (2-6) at Nevada Wolf Pack (4-4)
College Football: Saturday, November 2, 2019 at 10:30 pm (Mackay Stadium)
The Line: Nevada Wolf Pack -6.5 -- Over/Under: 56
The New Mexico Lobos and Nevada Wolf Pack meet Saturday in college football action at Mackay Stadium.
The New Mexico Lobos could use a win here to snap a five-game losing streak. The New Mexico Lobos have lost each of their last seven road games. Tevaka Tuioti is completing 52 percent of his passes for 1,013 yards, seven touchdowns and six interceptions. Sheriron Jones and Tuioti have combined for nine touchdowns and 13 interceptions this season. Jordan Kress and Marcus Williams have combined for 708 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Aaron Molina has 11 receptions. The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 211.6 yards per contest, and Ahmari Davis leads the way with 743 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 37.6 points and 505.3 yards per game. Alex Hart leads the New Mexico Lobos with 55 tackles, Jacobi Hearn has six sacks and Jerrick Reed II has one interception.
The Nevada Wolf Pack could use a win here to get a game above a .500 record. The Nevada Wolf Pack have won three of their last four home games. Carson Strong is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 976 yards, three touchdowns and six interceptions. Strong and Malik Henry have combined for four touchdown passes and 10 interceptions. Elijah Cooks and Romeo Doubs have combined for 831 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Kaleb Fossum has 26 receptions. The Nevada Wolf Pack ground game is averaging 127.3 yards per contest, and Taua leads the way with 534 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Nevada is allowing 37.6 points and 421.8 yards per game. Tyson Williams leads the Nevada Wolf Pack with 47 tackles, Dom Peterson has four sacks and Daniel Brown has three interceptions.
The Lobos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 conference games and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Wolf Pack are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 home games, 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. The under is 10-3 in Wolf Pack last 13 conference games. The under is 4-1 in Lobos last 5 games overall.
The New Mexico Lobos have failed to cover seven of their last 11 games as a road underdog. The Nevada Wolf Pack are 4-6-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. The New Mexico Lobos remain one of the worst defensive teams in the country and each of their last four losses have been decided by double digits. The Nevada Wolf Pack have played their best football at home this season and should be eager to return home after back-to-back tough road games. Nevada hasn't been the most consistent team in the world, but it's tough to back a team as bad defensively as New Mexico. I'll take the Wolf Pack by a touchdown.