Louisiana vs. Texas State - 11/2/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports
Texas State Bobcats (2-5) at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (5-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 2, 2019 at 5:00 pm (Cajun Field)
The Line: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns -22.5 -- Over/Under: 57
The Texas State Bobcats and the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns meet in a week 10 Sun Belt conference college football tilt from Cajun Field on Saturday.
The Texas State Bobcats will be looking for their first road win after back-to-back defeats following a 38-14 loss to Arkansas State in their last ouing. Gresch Jensen has thrown for 1,291 yards, 5 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 62.6% passing while Caleb Twyford leads the Bobcats in rushing with 448 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. Hutch White leads Texas State with 283 receiving yards while Jah’Marae sheread, Jeremiah Haydel and Trevis Graham Jr. each have 200+ receiving yards for the Bobcats this year. Defensively, Bryan London II has 67 total tackles while Nikolas Daniels leads Texas State with 4 sacks to go along with his 57 total tackles. As a team, Texas State is averaging 311.6 yards of total offense and 18.1 points per game while allowing 406.6 yards of total defense and 30 points per game against this season.
The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns come into this one rested after their bye week, looking to follow up their 37-20 win over Arkansas State in their last outing. Levi Lewis has thrown for 1,292 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 64.1% passing while Trey Ragas leads the Cajuns with 598 rushing yards along with 7 touchdowns. Elijah Mitchell has added 579 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns while Raymond Calais has 464 rushing yards this season. Ja’Marcus Bradley leads Louisiana’s receiving group with 29 grabs for 439 yards with 4 TDs while Jamal Bell has 252 receiving yards. Defensively, Jacques Boudreaux leads Louisiana with 54 total tackles while Joe Dillon, Bennie Higgins and Kris Moncrief each have 3 sacks this season. As a team, Louisiana is averaging 492.9 yards of total offense and 38 points per game while allowing 363.1 yards of total defense and 20.6 points per game against this season.
Texas State is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games while the under is 7-2 in their last 9 games following a loss. Louisiana is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the over is 9-4 in their last 13 home games. Texas State is 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
I’d like to give the Bobcats a shot here, as they’ve played some solid competition on the road, but the fact is that the Bobcats have been throttled in all three of their road games this year, losing by at least 24 points and by an average of 29.3 points per game in those outings. I just think the Cajuns are a better version of the Arkansas State team that just beat Texas State by 24, so I’ll lay the points with Louisiana at home here.