Florida vs. Georgia - 11/2/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jeff Blake-USA TODAY Sports
Georgia Bulldogs (6-1) at Florida Gators (7-1)
College Football: Saturday, November 2, 2019 at 3:30 pm (TIAA Bank Field)
The Line: Florida Gators +6 -- Over/Under: 48
The Georgia Bulldogs and the Florida Gators meet in a heavyweight week 10 SEC college football tilt from TIAA Bank Field on Saturday afternoon.
The Georgia Bulldogs come into this one rested after their bye week, sitting at 6-1 after a 21-0 win over Kentucky in their last outing. Jake Fromm has thrown for 1,406 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 70.7% passing while D’Andre Swift has rushed for a team-high 752 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns. Brian Herrien has 311 rushing yards and 5 TDs while Zamir White has 245 rushing yards. George Pickens leads Georgia with 23 receptions for 318 yards while Lawrence Cager has 245 receiving yards and 3 TDs. Dominick Blaylock and Demetris Robinson each have 205 receiving yards with Robertson adding 3 receiving scores. Defensively, Monty Rice leads Georgia with 41 total tackles including a team-high 18 solo tackles while Azeez Ojulari has 3.5 sacks. As a team, Georgia is averaging 472.9 yards of total offense and 36 points per game while allowing 267.1 yards of total defense and 10.6 points per game against this season.
The Florida Gators come into this game with a mark of 7-1 after their bye week, following a 38-27 win over South Carolina last time out. Kyle Trask has thrown for 1,391 yards, 14 touchdowns and 4 interceptions while Lamical Perine leads the Gators in rushing with 460 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns and Dameon Pierce has 248 rushing yards and 3 TDs. Kyle Pitts leads Florida with 35 catches for 391 yards and 4 touchdowns while Freddie Swain has 21 grabs for 339 and 4 TDs of his own and Van Jefferson has 331 receiving yards. Trevon Grimes and Josh Hammond each have 200+ receiving yards for the Gators this year. Defensively, David Reese II leads Florida with 66 total tackles including a team-high 27 solo tackles while Shawn Davis has 3 interceptions and Jonathan Greenard has 4 sacks. As a team, Florida is averaging 420 yards of total offense and 32.5 points per game while allowing 323.4 yards of total defense and 15.8 points per game against this season.
Georgia is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Florida is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games while the over is 3-1-1 in their last 5 neutral site game. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
This line baffles me a bit. The last five meetings between these two teams have all been decided by double digits, but both of these teams are pretty good, and they flat out don’t like each other. Georgia has won the last two meetings by a combined 54 points, but their last two games haven’t been reason enough to back them in this spot, after a loss to South Carolina and a shutout win over Kentucky that had more to do with the playing conditions than anything else. Florida’s lone loss came to LSU on the road, and this game is pretty much in the Gators’ backyard with the game being held just over an hour outside of Gainesville. I’ll take a shot with Florida and the points as I just find the Gators easier to trust in this scenario.