East Carolina vs. Cincinnati - 11/2/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

East Carolina vs. Cincinnati - 11/2/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

Cincinnati Bearcats (6-1) at East Carolina Pirates (3-5)

College Football: Saturday, November 2, 2019 at 7:00 pm (Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium)

The Line: East Carolina Pirates +23 -- Over/Under: 47.5

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The Cincinnati Bearcats and East Carolina Pirates meet Saturday in college football action at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium.

The Cincinnati Bearcats look for another victory to build on their five-game winning streak. The Cincinnati Bearcats have won two of their last three road games. Desmond Ridder is completing 60.6 percent of his passes for 1,399 yards, 14 touchdowns and five interceptions. Ridder has 12 touchdown passes in his last five games. Alec Pierce and Josiah Deguara have combined for 703 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Rashad Medaris has 16 receptions. The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 173.4 yards per contest, and Michael Warren II leads the way with 498 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 20.4 points and 344.7 yards per game. Darrick Forrest leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 61 tackles, Michael Pitts has 4.5 sacks and Ja'von Hicks has four interceptions.

The East Carolina Pirates need a victory here to snap a three-game losing streak. The East Carolina Pirates have split their last four home games. Holton Ahlers is completing 55.6 percent of his passes for 1,672 yards, seven touchdowns and seven interceptions. Ahlers has six touchdown passes in his last five games. C.J. Johnson and Blake Proehl have combined for 775 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Tyler Snead has 22 receptions. The East Carolina Pirates ground game is averaging 154.6 yards per contest, and Demetrius Mauney leads the way with 368 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, East Carolina is allowing 28.3 points and 417.3 yards per game. Xavier Smith leads the East Carolina Pirates with 54 tackles, Kendall Futrell has eight sacks and Gerard Stringer has two interceptions. 

The Bearcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Pirates are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 home games, 11-32-1 ATS in their last 44 conference games and 20-44-1 ATS in their last 65 games overall. The Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The under is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Bearcats last 7 games overall.

The Cincinnati Bearcats have covered five of their last seven games as a double-digit favorite. The East Carolina Pirates have failed to cover 17 of their last 22 games as double-digit underdog. I don't enjoy laying massive numbers with road teams and I'm always trying to make a case for the underdog. The problem is the Cincinnati Bearcats are a really good team and have had an extra week to prepare. The East Carolina Pirates have looked awful during this three-game losing streak and have a history of coming up short ATS in the big underdog role. It's the Cincinnati Bearcats or pass.


Randy’s Pick Cincinnati Bearcats -23

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.