Bowling Green vs. Akron - 11/2/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Bowling Green vs. Akron - 11/2/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

Akron Zips (0-8) at Bowling Green Falcons (2-6)

College Football: Saturday, November 2, 2019 at 2:00 pm (Doyt L. Perry Stadium)

The Line: Bowling Green Falcons -6 -- Over/Under: 48.5

TV: ESPN+

The Akron Zips and Bowling Green Falcons meet Saturday in college football action at Doyt Perry Stadium.

The Akron Zips could use a victory here to rebound from an awful 0-8 record. The Akron Zips have lost each of their last seven road games. Kato Nelson is completing 57.6 percent of his passes for 1,270 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions. Akron quarterbacks have combined for nine touchdown passes and eight interceptions. Nate Stewart and Dustin Burkhart have combined for 757 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Michael Mathison has 29 receptions. The Akron Zips ground game is averaging 55.2 yards per contest, and Brandon Lee leads the way with 157 yards on 53 carries. Defensively, Akron is allowing 35.8 points and 404.4 yards per game. John Lako leads the Akron Zips with 97 tackles, Josh Ward has two sacks and Shawn Featherstone has one interception.

The Bowling Green Falcons could also use a win after losing six of their last seven games. The Bowling Green Falcons have split their last four home games. Darius Wade is completing 58.6 percent of his passes for 668 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Wade and Grant Loy have combined for seven touchdown passes and 11 interceptions. Quintin Morris and Bryson Denley have combined for 693 receiving yards and five touchdowns while RB Marlow III has 16 receptions. The Bowling Green Falcons ground game is averaging 165.7 yards per contest, and Loy leads the way with 353 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 37.3 points and 485.8 yards per game. Brandon Perce leads the Bowling Green Falcons with 81 tackles, Nico Lautanen has three sacks and Jamari Bozeman has one interception.

The Zips are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Falcons are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Zips are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Bowling Green and 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings. The under is 11-2 in Falcons last 13 games overall. The under is 61-29 in Zips last 90 games overall.

The Akron Zips have failed to cover five of their last seven games as a road underdog. The Bowling Green Falcons have failed to cover seven of their last eight games as a home favorite. The Bowling Green Falcons are one of the worst defensive teams in the country and have won once since September, so laying chalk with them just feels weird. However, the Akron Zips have scored a combined three points in their last three games and haven't won a game in a calendar year. Akron also isn't covering numbers during this losing stretch. So, you have no choice but to lay the touchdown with Bowling Green. 

Randy’s Pick Bowling Green Falcons -6

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The pick in this article is the opinion of its writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.