Arkansas vs. Mississippi State - 11/2/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports
Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-5) at Arkansas Razorbacks (2-6)
College Football: Saturday, November 2, 2019 at 4:00 pm (Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium)
The Line: Arkansas Razorbacks +7.5 -- Over/Under: 58 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Arkansas Razorbacks meet in a week 10 SEC college football tilt from Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs will be out to snap a four game losing streak after a 49-30 loss to Texas A&M in their last outing. Garrett Shrader has thrown for 1,022 yards, 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 55.1% passing while Kylin Hill leads the Bulldogs in rushing with 793 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns and the previously mentioned Shrader has 504 rushing yards. Osirus Mitchell leads the Bulldogs in receiving with 344 receiving yards and 25 catches for 4 touchdowns while Stephen Guidry has 270 receiving yards and 4 TDs and Deddrick Thomas has 230 receiving yards this season. Defensively, Erroll Thompson leads the Bulldogs with 55 total tackles while Jaquarius Landrews and C.J. Morgan each have 53 total tackles with Landrews boasting a team-high 32 solo tackles this year. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 378.8 yards of total offense and 25.5 points per game while allowing 402.5 yards of total defense and 31 points per game against this season.
The Arkansas Razorbacks will be out to snap a five-game losing streak after their 48-7 loss to Alabama in their last outing. Nick Starkel has thrown for 1,118 yards, 7 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 55% passing while Rakeem Boyd leads the Hogs in rushing with 706 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns and Devwah Whaley also has 242 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Cheyenne O’Grady leads the Arkansas receiving group with 33 grabs for 372 yards and 3 touchdowns while Trey Knox and Mike Woods are in the 300+ yard receiving club and Treylon Burks is right behind with 298 receiving yards this season. Defensively, De’Jon Harris leads the Razorbacks with 63 total tackles while Kamren Curl has 59 total tackles including a team-high 35 solo tackles and McTelvin Agim has a team-high 5 sacks this season. As a team, Arkansas is averaging 363.9 yards of total offense and 22.5 points per game while allowing 419.4 yards of total defense and 32.9 points per game against this season.
Mississippi State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games while the under is 36-17 in their last 53 games against a team with a losing record. Arkansas is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record. Mississippi State is 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Arkansas.
It’s hard to make a case for either of these sides given how their respective seasons have gone up to this point, but I’ve said before and I’ll say again, I just don’t like the look of Mississippi State’s quarterback play. It’s also hard for me to lay a touchdown plus a hook with a Bulldogs team that’s not only gone 0-3 SU on the road, but 0-3 ATS as well, with those losses coming in blowouts against Auburn and Texas A&M and that head-scratching loss to Tennessee a couple of weeks ago. Arkansas hasn’t been great in their own right, but the Hogs do some of their best work at home where three of their last four games have been a win or a loss by seven points or less. I just think that Arkansas at home with points is the side I’d want to be on in this matchup, so I’ll begrudgingly take Arkansas in this one.