Baylor vs. West Virginia - 10/31/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
West Virginia Mountaineers (3-4) at Baylor Bears (7-0)
College Football: Thursday, October 31, 2019 at 8:00 pm (McLane Stadium)
The Line: Baylor Bears -17.5 -- Over/Under: 56
The West Virginia Mountaineers and the Baylor Bears meet in Big 12 conference college football action from McLane Stadium on Thursday night.
The West Virginia Mountaineers will look to bounce back after their bye week and snap a three game losing streak after a 52-14 loss to Oklahoma dropped WVU below .500 at 3-4 this season. Austin Kendall has thrown for 1,429 yards, 11 touchdowns and 7 interceptions while Kennedy McCoy and Leddie Brown each have 188 and 184 rushing yards respectively with McKoy having 3 rushing TDs this season. T.J. Simmons leads the Mountaineers with 409 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns while Sam James has a team-high 41 receptions for 388 yards and Sean Ryan and George Campbell each have 100+ receiving yards with Campbell logging 3 receiving TDs. Defensively, Josh Norwood leads WVU with 52 total tackles including a team-high 32 solo tackles while Josh Chandler is right behind with 49 total tackles. As a team, West Virginia is averaging 314.1 yards of total offense ad 22.7 points per game while allowing 409 yards of total defense and 33.4 points per game against this season.
The Baylor Bears will look to remain unbeaten after improving to 7-0 on the year following a 45-27 win over Oklahoma State prior to their bye week. Charlie Brewer has thrown for 1,866 yards, 12 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 66.3% passing while John Lovett leads Baylor in rushing with 446 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns and JaMycal Hasty has 362 rushing yards and 4 TDs of his own. Denzel Mims leads Baylor with 33 catches for 519 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns while Tyquan Thornton has 507 receiving yards and R.J. Sneed has 296 receiving yards this season. Defensively, Clay Johnston leads Baylor with 58 total tackles including a team-high 35 solo tackles while James Lynch has a team-high 8.5 sacks this season. As a team, Baylor is averaging 484.1 yards of total offense and 38.9 points per game while allowing 358.6 yards of total defense and 19.1 points per game against this season.
West Virginia is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall while the over is 8-1 in their last 9 conference games. Baylor is 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a losing record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a losing road record. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
I’d like to give West Virginia a chance to keep things interesting as Baylor has a history of playing down to lesser opposition, but the fact is that the Mountaineers have been waxed in their last couple of games against some pretty decent offensive teams, including losses to Oklahoma and Iowa State in their last two games by a combined score of 90-28. Baylor doesn’t always do it pretty, but they’ve been effective this season, so while the line is steep, I’ll lay the points with Baylor in this one.