Purdue vs. Illinois - 10/26/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports
Illinois Fighting Illini (3-4) at Purdue Boilermakers (2-5)
College Football: Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Ross-Ade Stadium)
The Line: Purdue Boilermakers -7.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Illinois Fighting Illini and Purdue Boilermakers meet Saturday in college football action at Ross-Ade Stadium.
The Illinois Fighting Illini look for another victory after beating Wisconsin last week as 31-point underdogs. The Illinois Fighting Illini have lost five of their last six road games. Brandon Peters is completing 56.1 percent of his passes for 971 yards, 12 touchdowns and four interceptions. Peters has five touchdown passes and three interceptions in his last four games. Josh Imatorbhebhe and Ricky Smalling have combined for 589 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Daniel Barker has 12 receptions. The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 145.8 yards per contest, and Reggie Corbin leads the way with 479 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 29.6 points and 432.4 yards per game. Dele Harding leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 85 tackles, Oluwole Betiku Jr. has eight sacks and Michael Marchese has one interception.
The Purdue Boilermakers need a win here after losing five of their last six games. The Purdue Boilermakers have won five of their last eight home games. Elijah Sindelar is completing 59.6 percent of his passes for 1,292 yards, nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Sindelar and Jack Plummer have combined for 18 touchdowns and eight interceptions. David Bell and Brycen Hopkins have combined for 1,034 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Rondale Moore has 29 receptions. The Purdue Boilermakers ground game is averaging 59.1 yards per contest, and King Doerue leads the way with 252 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Purdue is allowing 29.3 points and 432.7 yards per game. Ben Holt leads the Purdue Boilermakers with 67 tackles, George Karlaftis has five sacks and Cory Trice has two interceptions.
The Fighting Illini are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Purdue and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The over is 42-19-1 in Boilermakers last 62 home games. The over is 11-4 in Fighting Illini last 15 conference games.
The Illinois Fighting Illini have failed to cover nine of their last 12 games as a road underdog. The Purdue Boilermakers have split their last eight games ATS as a home favorite. The Illinois Fighting Illini are in the ultimate letdown spot, as they looked awful for much of the year and then beat Wisconsin as monster underdogs and become the talk of the week. While you could argue that's a turning point for Illinois, it's also a win that came out of nowhere and there's no evidence that points to positive results continuing. The Purdue Boilermakers have been on the wrong side of some tough losses, but this game is more on their level in terms of competition and the Boilermakers beat Illinois on the road last year, 46-7. I'll eat the chalk with Purdue.