Northwestern vs. Iowa - 10/26/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports
Iowa Hawkeyes (5-2) at Northwestern Wildcats (1-5)
College Football: Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Ryan Field)
The Line: Northwestern Wildcats +10 -- Over/Under:
The Iowa Hawkeyes and Northwestern Wildcats meet Saturday in college football action at Ryan Field.
The Iowa Hawkeyes look for a solid road victory after splitting their last four games. The Iowa Hawkeyes have won four of their last seven road games. Nate Stanley is completing 62.3 percent of his passes for 1,771 yards, nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Stanley has three or more touchdown passes in six of his last 16 games. Ihmir Smith-Marsette and Brandon Smith have combined for 850 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Nico Ragaini has 30 receptions. The Iowa Hawkeyes ground game is averaging 149 yards per contest, and Mekhi Sargent leads the way with 397 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Iowa is allowing 11.6 points and 275 yards per game. Kristian Welch leads the Iowa Hawkeyes with 47 tackles, A.J. Epenesa has three sacks and Michael Ojemudia has two interceptions.
The Northwestern Wildcats need a victory here to snap a four-game losing streak. The Northwestern Wildcats have split their last eight home games. Hunter Johnson is completing 48.3 percent of his passes for 367 yards, one touchdown and four interceptions. Johnson and Aidan Smith have combined for nine interceptions this season. Bennett Skowronek and Riley Lees have combined for 299 receiving yards on 34 catches while JJ Jefferson has 10 receptions. The Northwestern Wildcats ground game is averaging 153.1 yards per contest, and Drake Anderson leads the way with 405 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Northwestern is allowing 25.2 points and 345.7 yards per game. Travis Whillock leads the Northwestern Wildcats with 47 tackles, Joe Gaziano has 4.5 sacks and Paddy Fisher has one interception.
The Hawkeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Wildcats are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games in October, 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 conference games and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The under is 42-15-1 in Wildcats last 58 home games. The over is 8-2 in Hawkeyes last 10 road games.
The Iowa Hawkeyes have failed to cover 11 of their last 14 games as a double-digit road favorite. The Northwestern Wildcats are 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine games as a home underdog. The Iowa Hawkeyes rebounded with a win last week over Purdue, but this club is a lot like past teams in that they just take care of business and don't provide much style points, so it's not surprising to see their cent record as big favorites. The Northwestern Wildcats got waxed last Friday against Ohio State, but they're usually really good in the big underdog role and have hung around for much of the season outside of that game against the Buckeyes. Northwestern beat Iowa on the road last season and has actually won the last three games against the Hawkeyes. While they burned me last week, I'll take my chances with the Northwestern Wildcats and the points at home.