North Carolina vs. Duke - 10/26/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

In the loss to the Cavs, Duke QB Quentin Harris tossed for 88 yards, one TD and two INTs, while also leading the rush on 37 yards. Scott Bracey posted two receptions for 43 yards and a TD. 

Over on the Tar Heels’ side, they’re 3-4 this year. UNC has posted wins over South Carolina, Miami-FL and Georgia Tech while falling to Wake Forest, App State, Clemson and Virginia Tech. 

In the OT loss to Virginia Tech, UNC quarterback Sam Howell put up 348 yards with five touchdowns, with most of the work going to Dazz Newsome on 112 yards and two touchdowns. Michael Carter led the rush there with 91 yards. 

The Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last five after an ATS loss and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Duke is 1-4-1 ATS versus a team with a losing record and 1-4 ATS in their last five in October. 

Meanwhile, the Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last five at home and 6-2 ATS in their last eight after an ATS loss. UNC is 5-2 ATS in their last seven conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven on grass. 

Duke is a pretty good scoring team this season, but they hit the wall against Virginia and couldn’t do much in the 48-14 loss. That said, they’ve posted 30 or more points in five of their seven games. 

North Carolina has put up some solid offensive numbers as well, and they’ve got 79 points over their last two outings. This should be a really fun matchup and I can envision either team covering. I’m going to give a slight edge to the Tar Heels at home, though.