New Mexico vs. Hawaii - 10/26/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Hawaii Warriors (4-3) at New Mexico Lobos (2-5)
College Football: Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 4:00 pm (University Stadium)
The Line: New Mexico Lobos +11 -- Over/Under:
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The Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors and New Mexico Lobos meet Saturday in college football action at Dreamstyle Stadium.
The Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors could use a win after splitting their last six games. The Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors have lost four of their last six road games. Cole McDonald is completing 66.4 percent of his passes for 2,284 yards, 23 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. McDonald has four touchdown passes in four of his last seven games. Cedric Byrd II and Jared Smart have combined for 1,148 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while JoJo Ward has 34 receptions. The Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors ground game is averaging 116.2 yards per contest, and Miles Reed leads the way with 273 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Hawai'i is allowing 36 points and 428.4 yards per game. Kalen Hicks leads the Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors with 42 tackles, KK Padello has two sacks and Kai Kaneshiro has two interceptions.
The New Mexico Lobos need a win here to snap a four-game losing streak. The New Mexico Lobos have lost six of their last eight home games. Tevaka Tuioti is completing 49.4 percent of his passes for 720 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. Sheriron Jones and Tuioti have combined for seven touchdowns and 11 interceptions this season. Jordan Kress and Marcus Williams have combined for 584 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Aaron Molina has 11 receptions. The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 212.2 yards per contest, and Ahmari Davis leads the way with 543 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 36.6 points and 494.9 yards per game. Alex Hart leads the New Mexico Lobos with 49 tackles, Jacobi Hearn has five sacks and Jerrick Reed II has one interception.
The Rainbow Warriors are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 road games, 17-42-1 ATS in their last 60 conference games and 16-39-2 ATS in their last 57 games overall. The Lobos are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games on grass, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The Rainbow Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The under is 4-0 in Lobos last 4 games overall. The over is 6-2 in Rainbow Warriors last 8 road games.
The Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors haven't been a double-digit road favorite since their 2011 game against the UNLV Rebels. The New Mexico Lobos have covered five of their last eight games as a double-digit home favorite. Hawai'i may have some defensive issues it needs to fix if this season is going to get back on track, but the Warriors have an impressive quarterback who can at least put points on the board in bunches. The New Mexico Lobos don't have much positive going for them right now and their defense struggles to get off the field as well. The over may be worth a look once the line is released, but in terms of picking a side, I'll go with the team that can consistently move the football and finish drives. The Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors should run away with this thing in the second half.