Michigan vs. Notre Dame - 10/26/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (5-1) at Michigan Wolverines (5-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 7:30 pm (Michigan Stadium)
The Line: Michigan Wolverines -2 -- Over/Under:
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in college football action at Michigan Stadium.
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish look for a statement victory to build on a three-game winning streak. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have won five of their last six road games. Ian Book is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 1,419 yards, 14 touchdowns and two interceptions. Book has two or more touchdown passes in three of his last five games. Chase Claypool and Cole Kmet have combined for 659 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Javon McKinley has eight receptions. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish ground game is averaging 188.5 yards per contest, and Tony Jones Jr. leads the way with 557 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Notre Dame is allowing 16.8 points and 346.2 yards per game. Alohi Gilman leads the Notre Dame Fighting Irish with 38 tackles, Julian Okwara has five sacks and Jalen Elliott has two interceptions.
The Michigan Wolverines need a feel good win after losing two of their last five games. The Michigan Wolverines haven’t lost a home game since November of 2017. Shea Patterson is completing 57.4 percent of his passes for 1,522 yards, nine touchdowns and four interceptions. Patterson has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 15 games. Ronnie Bell and Nico Collins have combined for 810 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Tarik Black has 18 receptions. The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 154 yards per contest, and Zach Charbonnet leads the way with 457 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 19 points and 283.3 yards per game. Khaleke Hudson leads the Michigan Wolverines with 64 tackles, Josh Uche has 5.5 sacks and Ambry Thomas has two interceptions.
The Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall and0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. The Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Michigan and the underdog is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 meetings. The over is 11-4 in Wolverines last 15 home games. The under is 7-2 in Fighting Irish last 9 games overall.
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have split their last 10 games ATS as a road underdog. The Michigan Wolverines have covered eight of their last 12 games as a home favorite. The Michigan Wolverines put up a good fight last week in Happy Valley and it's the type of performance they can build on heading back home against another respectable opponent. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have been rather consistent all year with a balanced offense and one of the better defenses in the country, and they've had an extra week to prepare for this game. When you add the rest advantage to Notre Dame and the fact Michigan has a history of coming up small in big games, I'm not sure how you can turn down free points with the Irish. Give me Notre Dame on the road.