Michigan State vs. Penn State - 10/26/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports
Penn State Nittany Lions (7-0) at Michigan State Spartans (4-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 3:30 pm (Spartan Stadium)
The Line: Michigan State Spartans +6 -- Over/Under:
The Penn State Nittany Lions and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday in college football action at Spartan Stadium.
The Penn State Nittany Lions look to improve to 8-0 and remain in the college football playoff conversation. The Penn State Nittany Lions have won six of their last seven road games. Sean Clifford is completing 63 percent of his passes for 1,742 yards, 16 touchdowns and two interceptions. Clifford has 10 touchdown passes in his last five games. KJ Hamler and Jahan Dotson have combined for 861 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Pat Freiermuth has 20 receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 178.2 yards per contest, and Noah Cain leads the way with 329 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 10 points and 282.1 yards per game. Micah Parsons leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 45 tackles, Yetur Gross-Matos has 5.5 sacks and John Reid has two interceptions.
The Michigan State Spartans need a statement win after splitting their last six games. The Michigan State Spartans have won seven of their last 11 home games. Brian Lewerke is completing 57.5 percent of his passes for 1,596 yards, 11 touchdowns and three interceptions. Lewerke has one or less touchdown passes in eight of his last 11 games. Darrell Stewart Jr. and Cody White have combined for 1,016 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Matt Seybert has 15 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 117.1 yards per contest, and Elijah Collins leads the way with 492 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 21 points and 314.3 yards per game. Joe Bachie leads the Michigan State Spartans with 65 tackles, Kenny Willekes has four sacks and Josiah Scott has two interceptions.
The Nittany Lions are 18-7-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games in October and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games. The Spartans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Nittany Lions are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Michigan State and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The under is 12-3 in Spartans last 15 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Nittany Lions last 5 games overall.
The Penn State Nittany Lions have covered six of their last nine games as a road favorite. The Michigan State Spartans have covered six of their last nine games as a home underdog. Penn State has had some close games here and there, but this team has handled its business through seven games and probably isn't getting enough credit for what it's done. The Michigan State Spartans have been outscored 10-72 in their last two games against ranked opponents and are often hit or miss in their play, but they have had an extra week to prepare for this game, which always helps. Winning in East Lansing is never easy and the Spartans did beat the Nittany Lions last year, however, Michigan State has an offensive issue that prevents this team from competing with the top teams in the country. I have no choice but to lay the touchdown with the Penn State Nittany Lions.