Kentucky vs. Missouri - 10/26/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Missouri Tigers (5-2) at Kentucky Wildcats (3-4)
College Football: Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 7:30 pm (Kroger Field)
The Line: Kentucky Wildcats +10 -- Over/Under: 48
The Missouri Tigers and the Kentucky Wildcats meet in a week 9 SEC conference college football matchup from Kroger Field on Saturday.
The Missouri Tigers will look to rebound after having their five game winning streak snapped with a shock 21-14 loss to Vanderbilt last time out. Kelly Bryant threw for 140 yards, a touchdown and an interception on 13 of 26 passing while also leading the Tigers in rushing with 72 rushing yards. Tyler Badie had 47 rushing yards while Larry Rountree III had 29 rushing yards anda. Touchdown. Kam Scott led the Tigers with 69 receiving yards while Jonathan Nance had 3 grabs for 34 yards and Albert Okwuegbunam had a receiving TD. Defensively, Nick Bolton led the Tigers with 15 total tackles as well as a team-high 11 solo tackles while Joshuah Bledsoe had 10 total tackles and Cameron Wilkins had an interception. As a team, Missouri is averaging 448.4 yards of total offense and 35.3 points per game while allowing 270.1 yards of total defense and 16.6 points per game against this season.
The Kentucky Wildcats will look for a win to get back to .500 after falling to 3-4 on the year with a 21-0 loss to Georgia last time out. Receiver Lynn Bowden Jr. was forced to step in at QB with an injury to starter Sawyer Smith, throwing for just 17 yards on 2 of 15 passing while rushing for 99 yards and Asim Rose had 37 rushing yards. Defensively, Yusuf Corker led the Wildcats with 11 total tackles including a team-high 7 solo tackles while DeAndre Square had 9 total tackles including 6 solo tackles. As a team, Kentucky is averaging 355.1 yards of total offense and 20.1 points per game while allowing 366.1 yards of total defense and 23.3 points per game against this season.
Missouri is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a losing record and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Kentucky is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
Getting points with a home dog is usually tempting, but if Kentucky has to lean on a wide receiver at QB again, I’m not sure I like their chances. I wasn’t high on Kentucky in this one with Sawyer Smith under center, but even with the possibility of him missing this game combined with Missouri’s want to make amends for that poor showing against Vanderbilt, I think you have to lay the points with the Tigers here.