Arkansas State vs. Texas State - 10/26/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Arkansas State vs. Texas State - 10/26/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

Texas State Bobcats (2-4) at Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-4)

College Football: Saturday, October 26, 2019 at 7:00 pm (Centennial Bank Stadium)

The Line: Arkansas State Red Wolves -13 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Texas State Bobcats and Arkansas State Red Wolves meet Saturday in college football action at Centennial Bank Stadium.

The Texas State Bobcats could use a big road win after splitting their last four games. The Texas State Bobcats have lost seven of their last eight road games. Gresch Jensen is completing 62.6 percent of his passes for 1,291 yards, five touchdowns and six interceptions. Jensen has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last six games. Hutch White and Jah’Marae Sheread have combined for 474 receiving yards and one touchdown while Trevis Graham Jr. has 14 receptions. The Texas State Bobcats ground game is averaging 82.8 yards per contest, and Caleb Twyford leads the way with 372 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Texas State is allowing 28.7 points and 413.7 yards per game. Bryan London II leads the Texas State Bobcats with 59 tackles, Nikolas Daniels has two sacks and JaShon Waddy has two interceptions.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have won four of their last six home games. Layne Hatcher is completing 67.9 percent of his passes for 1,095 yards, 10 touchdowns and six interceptions. Hatcher and Logan Bonner have combined for 20 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Omar Bayless and Jonathan Adams Jr. have combined for 1,436 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Kirk Merritt has 37 receptions. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 121.7 yards per contest, and Marcel Murray leads the way with 358 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 38.4 points and 530.1 yards per game. B.J. Edmonds leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 52 tackles, William Bradley-King has six sacks and Jeremy Smith has two interceptions. 

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The Bobcats are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Red Wolves are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games, 43-21-1 ATS in their last 65 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Red Wolves last 7 conference games. The under is 9-3 in Bobcats last 12 games overall.

The Texas State Bobcats are 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a double-digit underdog. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have split their last 12 games ATS as a double-digit favorite. The Texas State Bobcats aren't a good football team to say the least and are going to be underdogs probably for the remainder of the season. However, you're being asked to lay double-digit chalk with one of the worst defensive teams in the Arkansas State Red Wolves. Only UMass allows more yards per game than the Red Wolves and there's only four teams allowing more points per game. I'm not running to the window to lay big numbers with one of the worst defensive teams in the country. It's Texas State Bobcats and the points or pass.

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Randy’s Pick Texas State Bobcats +13

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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