Vanderbilt vs. Missouri - 10/19/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Missouri Tigers (5-1) at Vanderbilt Commodores (1-5)
College Football: Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 4:00 pm (Vanderbilt Stadium)
The Line: Vanderbilt Commodores +21.5 -- Over/Under: 56.5
The Missouri Tigers and the Vanderbilt Commodores meet in a week 8 SEC conference matchup from Vanderbilt Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The Missouri Tigers will be looking to add to their current 5-game winning streak after a 38-27 win over Ole Miss in their last outing. Kelly Bryant has thrown for 1,575 yards, 12 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 65% passing while Larry Rountree III leads Mizzou in rushing with 557 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns. Tyler Badie also has 264 rushing yards for the Tigers while Johnathon Johnson leads the Missouri receiving corps with 25 catches for 275 yards. Jonathan Nance has 250 receiving yards with 3 touchdowns while Albert Okwuegbunam has 16 catches for 240 yards and 5 touchdowns. Jalen Knox and the aforementioned Badie each have 200+ receiving yards for the Tigers as well this year. Cale Garrett and Nick Bolton are tied for the team lead with 39 total tackles with Garrett logging team-highs of 30 solo tackles and 3 interceptions while Bolton has a pair of picks. Kobie Whiteside leads the Tigers with 5 sacks this season. As a team, Missouri is averaging 474.5 yards of total offense and 38.8 points per game while allowing 262.7 yards of total defense and 15.8 points per game against this season.
The Vanderbilt Commodores will be looking to rebound from back-to-back losses after a disappointing shock 34-10 defeat at the hands of UNLV last time out. Riley Neal has thrown for 1,102 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 59.2% passing while Ke’Shawn Vaughn leads UNLV in rushing with 607 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. Kalija Lipscomb leads Vandy’s receiving corps with 30 catches for 337 yards and 2 touchdowns while Cam Johnson, Chris Pierce, the aforementioned Vaughn and Jared Pinkney each have 100+ receiving yards for the ‘Dores this year. Dimitri Moore leads Vanderbilt with 40 total tackles while Brendon Harris is 2nd with 38 total tackles and a team-high 24 solo tackles. Dashaun Jenkins sits 3rd with 37 total tackles this season as well. As a team, Vanderbilt is averaging 339.7 yards of total offense and 18 points per game while allowing 483.2 yards of total defense and 36.8 points per game against this season.
Missouri is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a losing record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win. Vanderbilt is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 conference games. The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
I normally say and It’s common perception that a home dog is tempting, especially getting three touchdowns. The problem is that I am not putting one red cent on these Commodores as Vanderbilt has been brutal going 0-6 ATS this season, including 0-4 ATS at home. The Commodores also just got blown out as 16.5-point favorites against UNLV so I have little faith that Vanderbilt can keep up against a Missouri team that’s been scoring points left and right and are a much better team offensively than UNLV. I’ll lay the points with Missouri here as I just don’t think Vanderbilt can keep up here.