UCF vs. East Carolina - 10/19/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UCF vs. East Carolina - 10/19/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by James Guillory-USA TODAY Sports

East Carolina Pirates (3-3) at UCF Knights (4-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 7:00 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)

The Line: UCF Knights -33.5 -- Over/Under: 61.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The East Carolina Pirates and UCF Knights meet Saturday in college football action at Spectrum Stadium.

The East Carolina Pirates need a strong road win here to get a game above a .500 record. The East Carolina Pirates have lost seven of their last eight road games. Holton Ahlers is completing 53 percent of his passes for 1,142 yards, six touchdowns and five interceptions. Ahlers has five touchdown passes in his last three games. Blake Proehl and C.J. Johnson have combined for 523 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Deondre Farrier has 12 receptions. The East Carolina Pirates ground game is averaging 160.8 yards per contest, and Demetrius Mauney leads the way with 244 yards on 57 carries. Defensively, East Carolina is allowing 23.3 points and 367 yards per game. Xavier Smith leads the East Carolina Pirates with 42 tackles, Kendall Futrell has six sacks and Gerard Stringer has two interceptions.

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The UCF Knights could use a win here after splitting their last four games. The UCF Knights haven’t lost a home game since December of 2016. Dillon Gabriel is completing 59.6 percent of his passes for 1,635 yards, 15 touchdowns and five interceptions. Gabriel and Brandon Wimbush have combined for 17 touchdown passes this season. Gabriel Davis and Tre Nixon have combined for 1,035 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Jacob Harris has eight receptions. The UCF Knights ground game is averaging 214.8 yards per contest, and Greg McCrae leads the way with 394 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, UCF is allowing 20.7 points and 327.5 yards per game. Nate Evans leads the UCF Knights with 46 tackles, Brendon Hayes has three sacks and Tay Gowan has two interceptions. 

The Pirates are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games, 10-31-1 ATS in their last 42 conference games and 19-43-1 ATS in their last 63 games overall. The Knights are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games on grass, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week. The Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Central Florida and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Knights last 5 home games. The under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 games overall.

The East Carolina Pirates have failed to cover each of their last nine games as an underdog of at least 20 points. The UCF Knights have split their last 12 games ATS as a favorite of at least 20 points. East Carolina simply does not cover games as big underdogs, and the Pirates honestly don't cover games much at all. The UCF Knights have been tripped up twice in their last three games, but they've been covering machines at home over the years and have the offensive weapons to take their frustration out on a ECU team that lacks depth. I'll eat the chalk. 

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Randy’s Pick UCF Knights -33.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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