Oklahoma State vs. Baylor - 10/19/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
Baylor Bears (6-0) at Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 4:00 pm (Boone Pickens Stadium)
The Line: Oklahoma State Cowboys -3.5 -- Over/Under: 63.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Baylor Bears and the Oklahoma State Cowboys meet in a week 8 Big 12 conference college football matchup from Boone Pickens Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The Baylor Bears will look for another big road win to add to their current 6-0 start to the year after a 33-30 overtime win over Texas Tech in their last outing. Charlie Brewer has thrown for 1,554 yards, 11 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 65.4% passing while John Lovett leads the Bears in rushing with 389 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns and JaMycal Hasty has 216 rushing yards and 2 TDs. Denzel Mims leads Baylor’s receiving group with 32 catches for 503 yards and 5 touchdowns while Tyquan Thornton has 24 catches for 411 yards and 3 touchdowns and R.J. Sneed has 23 catches for 287 yards. Defensively, Clay Johnston leads the Bears with 58 total tackles including a team-high 35 solo tackles while Jordan Williams has a pair of interceptions and James Lynch has a team-high 8.5 sacks this season. As a team, Baylor is averaging 475.5 yards of total offense and 37.8 points per game while allowing 340.2 yards of total defense and 17.8 points per game against this season.
The Oklahoma State Cowboys will look to find some consistency after their bye week, alternating wins and losses in each of their last four games following a 45-35 loss to Texas Tech last time out. Spencer Sanders has thrown for 1,333 yards, 10 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 63.3% passing while also rushing for 426 yards. Chuba Hubbard leads OK State in rushing with 1,094 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns while Tylan Wallace has 39 catches for 703 yards and 7 touchdowns. Dillon Stoner is 2nd with 224 receiving yards while Jordan McCray, Braydon Johnson and Landon Wolf each have 100+ receiving yards this season. Defensively, Malcolm Rodriguez leads Oklahoma State with 49 total tackles while Amen Ogbongbemiga is 2nd with 47 total tackles including a team-high 29 solo tackles as well as 3.5 sacks this season. As a team, Oklahoma State is averaging 528.3 yards of total offense and 39.8 points per game while allowing 415 yards of total defense and 27.5 points per game against this season.
Baylor is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games while the under 9-4 in their last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record. Oklahoma State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week while the over is 12-5 in their last 17 conference games. Baylor is 6-14 ATS in the last 20 meetings between these two teams and 1-9 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two teams at Oklahoma State.
You have a pair of highly proficient offense in this one, and Oklahoma State at home with a low line is tempting considering that OK State is 5-1 ATS at home this season. However, the Cowboys are still just 3-3 and haven’t been the easiest team to back in these kinds of situations as they fall flat from time to time. Baylor continues to get no respect from oddsmakers despite being one of the most balanced teams in the country. I think Baylor battles and wins this game outright, but I’ll take the points to be safe.