Mississippi State vs. LSU - 10/19/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Mississippi State vs. LSU - 10/19/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

LSU Tigers (6-0) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3)

College Football: Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 3:30 pm (Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field)

The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs +19 -- Over/Under: 61 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The LSU Tigers and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet in a week 8 SEC conference college football tilt from Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

The LSU Tigers will look to remain unbeaten after improving to 6-0 on the year with a 42-28 win over Florida in their last outing. Joe Burrow has thrown for 2,157 yards, 25 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 79.6% passing while Clyde Edwards-Helaire has rushed for a team-high 494 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns. Justin Jefferson leads LSU in receiving with 40 grabs for 670 yards and 8 touchdowns while Ja’Marr Chase has 30 catches for 578 yards and 8 TDs and Terrace Marshall Jr. has 304 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Jacob Phillips leads LSU with 44 total tackles while Derek Stingley Jr. has 3 interceptions and Nell Farrell Jr. and K’Lavon Chaisson has a pair of sacks this season. As a team, LSU is averaging the 2nd-most total offense putting up 561.3 yards of total offense and the highest-scoring offense in the country averaging 52.5 points per game this season while allowing 317.5 yards of total defense and 21.2 points per game against this season.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs will look to rebound from back-to-back losses after a 20-10 loss to Tennessee in their last outing. Garrett Shrader has thrown for 590 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 57.7% passing while Kylin Hill has rushed for 609 yards and 5 touchdowns. Osirus Mitchell leads Mississippi State’s receiving group with 24 catches for 335 yards and 4 touchdowns while Deddrick Thomas, Farrod Green and Stephen Guidry each have 100+ receiving yards this season. Defensively, C.J. Morgan leads the Bulldogs with 45 total tackles while Erroll Thompson is right behind with 44 tackles and Cameron Dantzler has a pair of interceptions this season. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 376.2 yards of total offense and 26.8 points per game while allowing 394.3 yards of total defense and 27.2 points per game against this season.

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LSU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 conference games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall while the over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games following a win. Mississippi State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games while the under is 8-1 in their last 9 games following a loss. LSU is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these two teams at Mississippi State.

The points with Mississippi State are tempting, considering both of their recent losses came on the road and the Bulldogs are a better team at home. However, I don’t like how the Bulldogs struggled against a bad Tennessee team, and that kind of performance won’t cut it against arguably the best offense that LSU has had in program history. This has look-ahead potential for LSU with Auburn on deck, but I think that LSU will want to maintain their spot in the playoff rankings, and can ill afford a loss of concentration, so I’ll lay the points with LSU as I don’t see Mississippi State being able to keep up here.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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