Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan - 10/19/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan - 10/19/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

Central Michigan Chippewas (4-3) at Bowling Green Falcons (2-4)

College Football: Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 2:00 pm (Doyt L. Perry Stadium)

The Line: Bowling Green Falcons +10 -- Over/Under:

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The Central Michigan Chippewas and Bowling Green Falcons meet Saturday in college football action at Doyt Perry Stadium.

The Central Michigan Chippewas look for a big road win after splitting their last six games. The Central Michigan Chippewas have lost each of their last nine road games. David Moore is completing 57.3 percent of his passes for 1,143 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. Moore has three touchdown passes and three interceptions in his last three games. Kalil Pimpleton and Tyrone Scott have combined for 799 receiving yards and six touchdowns while JaCorey Sullivan has 15 receptions. The Central Michigan Chippewas ground game is averaging 178 yards per contest, and Jonathan Ward leads the way with 531 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Central Michigan is allowing 28.3 points and 367.7 yards per game. Troy Brown leads the Central Michigan Chippewas with 50 tackles, Sean Adesanya has six sacks and Alonzo McCoy has one interception.

The Bowling Green Falcons could use a home victory to rebound from a rough 2-4 record. The Bowling Green Falcons have lost five of their last seven home games. Darius Wade is completing 56.8 percent of his passes for 668 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Wade and Grant Loy have combined for six touchdown passes and five interceptions. Quintin Morris and Bryson Denley have combined for 499 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Julian Ortega-Jones has 10 receptions. The Bowling Green Falcons ground game is averaging 169.6 yards per contest, and Davon Jones leads the way with 328 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 35.2 points and 459.8 yards per game. Brandon Perce leads the Bowling Green Falcons with 57 tackles, Nico Lautanen has three sacks and Jamari Bozeman has one interception.

The Chippewas are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Falcons are 4-18 ATS in their last 22 home games, 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. The under is 10-1 in Falcons last 11 games overall. The over is 6-2 in Chippewas last 8 games overall.

The Central Michigan Chippewas have split their last 10 games ATS when a double-digit favorite. The Bowling Green Falcons have failed to cover eight of their last 11 games as a double-digit underdog. Central Michigan just played its best two games of the season with blowout wins over Eastern Michigan and New Mexico State. Bowling Green just beat Toledo, but the Falcons have had issues scoring all season long and the defense isn't much better either, so it's hard to jump onboard after one decent performance. The Central Michigan Chippewas have been the far more consistent team and has had more recent success ATS as well. It's the Chippewas in a comfortable victory or pass. 

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Randy’s Pick Central Michigan Chippewas -10

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.