Tennessee vs. Mississippi State - 10/12/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

The Tennessee Volunteers are in dire need of a win after falling to 1-4 with a 43-14 loss to Georgia in their last outing. Jarrett Guarantano has thrown for 750 yards, 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions this season while Brian Maurer has tossed for 303 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 picks. Ty Chandler leads Tennessee in rushing with 320 yards and 2 touchdowns while Eric Gray has 170 rushing yards and Tim Jordan has 112 yards on the ground this season. Jauan Jennings leads the Vols in receiving with 26 catches for 395 yards and 5 touchdowns while Marquez Callaway has 13 catches for 259 yards and 3 scores. Defensively, Theo Jackson leads Tennessee with 33 total tackles including a team-high 16 solo tackles while Henry To’o To’o is right behind with 32 total tackles on the year. As a team, Tennessee is averaging 352.8 yards of total offense and 23.6 points per game while allowing 377 yards of total defense and 28.8 points per game against this season.

Mississippi State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Tennessee is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games while the over is 17-7 in their last 24 games against a team with a winning record. Mississippi State is 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

Tennessee might be up there (or down there depending on how you look at it) with some of the worst teams in the country this season. Mississippi State’s also looked good against average and below average teams, which you could definitely lump Tennessee in with. Mississippi State has had major issues on the road against the Vols, losing each of their last three meetings at Neyland Stadium but 31+ points, but I just don’t see the Volunteers putting up a fight so I’ll lay the points with the Bulldogs on the road here.