Notre Dame vs. USC - 10/12/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports
USC Trojans (3-2) at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 7:30 pm (Notre Dame Stadium)
The Line: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -11.5 -- Over/Under: 56.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The USC Trojans and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish meet in a marquee week 7 college football matchup from Notre Dame Stadium on Saturday night.
The USC Trojans will look to find some form of consistency after alternating wins and losses in each of their last four games following a 28-14 loss to Washington in their last outing. Matt Fink has thrown for 514 yards, 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 40 of 62 passing while Vavae Malepeai has rushed for 360 yards and 4 touchdowns to lead the Trojans on the ground. Michael Pittman Jr. leads the Trojans in receiving with 501 receiving yards on 35 receptions with 4 touchdowns while Tyler Vaughns has 31 grabs for 414 yards and Amon-Ra St. Brown has 24 catches for 238 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, John Houston Jr. leads USC with 45 total tackles, while Talanoa Hufanga is right behind with 42 total tackles including a team-high 26 total tackles. Palaie Gaoteote IV has 41 total tackles and Drake Jackson leads the Trojans with 3 sacks this season. As a team, USC is averaging 429.4 yards of total offense and 29.4 points per game while allowing 411.6 yards of total defense and 24.8 points per game against this season.
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish will look to build on their 4-1 start after back-to-back wins including a 52-0 romp over Bowling Green in their last outing. Ian Book has thrown for 1,254 yards, 13 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 65.5% passing while Tony Jones Jr. leads the Irish in rushing with 381 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. Chase Claypool leads Notre Dame in receiving with 24 grabs for 247 yards and 4 touchdowns while Cole Kmet has 15 catches for 204 yards and Javon McKinley has 200 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns this season. Defensively, Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah leads the Irish with 30 total tackles including 23 solo tackles while Julian Okwara has 4 sacks and Khalid Kareem has 2.5 sacks as well. Jalen Elliott and Kyle Hamilton each have a pair of interceptions as well for Notre Dame this year. As a team, Notre Dame is averaging 450.2 yards of total offense and 41 points per game while allowing 332.4 yards of total defense and 14.8 points per game against this season.
USC is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games and 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Notre Dame is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Pac-12. The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams at Notre Dame.
Notre Dame has been a covering machine, covering each of their last 4 games and would be 5-0 ATS this season if not for missing out by a single point in their season opener on the road against Louisville. However, this matchup has a ton of history and USC has played the Irish the 2nd-most amount of times in Notre Dame’s history, with the two locking up 90 times since 1926. There’s a lot of pride at stake in this matchup and Notre Dame has gotten the better of the Trojans at home in recent years. I’d like to think that USC gets up for this one but I know that Notre Dame needs to keep making a statement if they want to have an outside chance at pleading their case to the selection committee for the playoffs. I think this one is tight throughout but look for Notre Dame to pull away late and win by a couple of scores, covering the line in the process.