Illinois vs. Michigan - 10/12/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Illinois vs. Michigan - 10/12/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Michigan Wolverines (4-1) at Illinois Fighting Illini (2-3)

College Football: Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Memorial Stadium-Champaign)

The Line: Illinois Fighting Illini +23 -- Over/Under: 49 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Michigan Wolverines and Illinois Fighting Illini meet Saturday in college football action at Memorial Stadium.

The Michigan Wolverines look for their first road win to build on their 4-1 record. The Michigan Wolverines have split their last six road games. Shea Patterson is completing 58.3 percent of his passes for 1,052 yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions. Patterson has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last 13 games. Nico Collins and Ronnie Bell have combined for 532 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Tarik Black has 13 receptions. The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 128.4 yards per contest, and Zach Charbonnet leads the way with 260 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 16 points and 288.8 yards per game. Khaleke Hudson leads the Michigan Wolverines with 52 tackles, Kwity Paye has 4.5 sacks and Ambry Thomas has two interceptions.

The Illinois Fighting Illini need a victory here in order to snap a three-game losing streak. The Illinois Fighting Illini have lost five of their last seven home games. Brandon Peters is completing 58.3 percent of his passes for 789 yards, 10 touchdowns and four interceptions. Peters has three touchdown passes and three interceptions in his last three games. Josh Imatorbhebhe and Ricky Smalling have combined for 426 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Daniel Barker has nine receptions. The Illinois Fighting Illini ground game is averaging 163.2 yards per contest, and Reggie Corbin leads the way with 382 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Illinois is allowing 28.4 points and 423.6 yards per game. Dele Harding leads the Illinois Fighting Illini with 56 tackles, Oluwole Betiku Jr. has seven sacks and Michael Marchese has one interception.

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The Wolverines are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October, 19-39-2 ATS in their last 60 road games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Fighting Illini are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf, 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October. The road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings The underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Fighting Illini last 5 home games. The over is 35-16-1 in Wolverines last 52 games overall.

The Michigan Wolverines have split their last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. The Illinois Fighting Illini have failed to cover seven of their last nine games as a double-digit underdog. Illinois is one of the more banged up teams in the country, and that includes Brandon Peters being questionable as well. Illinois also doesn't cover games as big underdogs. With that said, the Michigan Wolverines remain one of the teams I fuse to get behind when big favorites, as they simply don't show up more times than not, and this is a lookahead spot with Penn State on deck next week. I wouldn't touch this game personally, but I'd take the points if forced to pick simply due to not trusting Michigan. 

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Randy’s Pick Illinois Fighting Illini +23

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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