Bowling Green vs. Toledo - 10/12/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Bowling Green vs. Toledo - 10/12/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

Toledo Rockets (4-1) at Bowling Green Falcons (1-4)

College Football: Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Doyt L. Perry Stadium)

The Line: Bowling Green Falcons +25 -- Over/Under: 65.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Toledo Rockets and Bowling Green Falcons meet Saturday in college football action at Doyt Perry Stadium. 

The Toledo Rockets look for another victory to build on their four-game winning streak. The Toledo Rockets have lost four of their last seven road games. Mitchell Guadagni is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 905 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Guadagni has four touchdown passes in his last three games. Bryce Mitchell and Danzel McKinley-Lewis have combined for 582 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Desmond Phillips has 13 receptions. The Toledo Rockets ground game is averaging 264.8 yards per contest, and Bryant Koback leads the way with 628 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 23.6 points and 466.4 yards per game. Saeed Holt leads the Toledo Rockets with 41 tackles, Terrance Taylor has three sacks and Kahlil Robinson has three interceptions.

The Bowling Green Falcons need a victory here to snap a four-game losing streak. The Bowling Green Falcons have lost five of their last six home games. Darius Wade is completing 56.8 percent of his passes for 668 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Wade has zero touchdown passes in his last four games. Quintin Morris and Julian Ortega-Jones have combined for 428 receiving yards and two touchdowns while RB Marlow III has 10 receptions. The Bowling Green Falcons ground game is averaging 155.6 yards per contest, and Davon Jones leads the way with 264 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing 40.8 points and 473.4 yards per game. Brandon Perce leads the Bowling Green Falcons with 47 tackles, Kholbe Coleman has two sacks and David Konowalski has five tackles for loss.

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The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf. The Falcons are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The road team is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The under is 9-1 in Falcons last 10 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 road games. 

The Toledo Rockets have covered 10 of their last 12 games as a double-digit favorite. The Bowling Green Falcons have failed to cover each of their last six games as a double-digit underdog. The Toledo Rockets have been winning, but they're not exactly blowing the doors off their opponents, which is why I was hesitant to lay this sort of number with them on the road. However, the Bowling Green Falcons haven't been competitive at all during their four-game losing streak, and that includes losing to Kent State by 42 points. With a defense that's nonexistent, Toledo should have a field day offensively in this game and eventually pull away. I have no choice but to eat the massive number.

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Randy’s Pick Toledo Rockets -25

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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