Oregon vs. Colorado - 10/11/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Oregon vs. Colorado - 10/11/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Colorado Buffaloes (3-2) at Oregon Ducks (4-1)

College Football: Friday, October 11, 2019 at 10:00 pm (Autzen Stadium)

The Line: Oregon Ducks -20.5 -- Over/Under: 58 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Colorado Buffaloes and the Oregon Ducks meet in a week 7 Pac-12 conference matchup from Autzen Stadium on Friday night.

The Colorado Buffaloes will look to rebound from a 35-30 loss to Arizona in their last outing, falling to 3-2 on the year. Steven Montez has thrown for 1,463 yards, 10 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 67% passing while Alex Fontenot has rushed for 392 yards and 4 touchdowns while Jaren Mangham has 192 rushing yards and 3 scores this year. Tony Brown leads Colorado’s receiving corps with 29 catches for 442 yards and 4 touchdowns while K.D. Nixon has 302 receiving yards and Laviska Shenault Jr. has 226 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns. Dimitri Stanley and Brady Russell each have 100+ receiving yards this season. Defensively, Nate Landman leads Colorado with 53 total tackles, including a team-high 40 solo tackles while Mikial Onu has 4 interceptions and Mustaka Johnson has 3 sacks. As a team, Colorado is averaging 447 yards of total offense and 34.6 points per game while allowing 471.6 yards of total defense and 31.6 points per game against this season.

The Oregon Ducks will look to build on their current 4-game winning streak after a 17-7 win over Cal last time out. Justin Herbert has thrown for 1,341 yards, 15 touchdowns and an interception on 71.6% passing while CJ Verdell leads the Ducks in rushing with 277 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns and Travis Dye has 234 rushing yards this season. Jacob Breeland leads Oregon in receiving with 23 grabs for 352 yards and 5 touchdowns while Johnny Johnson III has 23 catches for 275 yards and Jaylon Redd has 22 catches for 185 yards and 4 TDs. Troy Dye leads Oregon with 29 total tackles including 20 solo tackles while Jevon Holland has 3 interceptions this season. As a team, Oregon is averaging 447.8 yards of total offense and 34.2 points per game while allowing 261.4 yards of total defense and 9.8 points per game against this season.

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Colorado is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Oregon is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record and 6-17-1 ATS in their last 24 games following a loss while the under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 conference games. Colorado is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

There’s no denying that the Ducks are the better team here and have been rock solid on defense, holding opponents to just 7 points or less in each of their last 4 games and the outlier is 21 points against an Auburn team that was undefeated up until this week. However, even with the talent Oregon has, it’s hard for me to lay this many points when the Ducks have averaged just 19 points per game in their two conference games. I don’t think Colorado wins this one outright, but the Buffaloes are more than capable of putting a couple of scoring drives together so keep this one within reason so I’ll take the Buffaloes and the points here.

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Chris’s Pick Colorado +20.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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