New Mexico vs. Colorado State - 10/11/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Mexico vs. Colorado State - 10/11/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Colorado State Rams (1-5) at New Mexico Lobos (2-3)

College Football: Friday, October 11, 2019 at 8:00 pm (University Stadium)

The Line: New Mexico Lobos +4 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Colorado State Rams and New Mexico Lobos meet Friday in college football action at Dreamstyle Stadium.

The Colorado State Rams need a win here to snap a rough four-game losing streak. The Colorado State Rams have lost each of their last five road games. Patrick O'Brien is completing 59.3 percent of his passes for 974 yards, three touchdown and two interceptions. O'Brien and Collin Hill have combined for 11 touchdown passes and four interceptions. Dante Wright and Warren Jackson have combined for 817 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Nate Craig-Myers has 12 receptions. The Colorado State Rams ground game is averaging 154.3 yards per contest, and Marvin Kinsey Jr. leads the way with 618 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Colorado State is allowing 36.5 points and 406.5 yards per game. Jamal Hicks leads the Colorado State Rams with 54 tackles, Jan-Phillip Bombek has four sacks and Keevan Bailey has one interception.

The New Mexico Lobos also need a victory here to get back to a .500 record. The New Mexico Lobos have lost five of their last seven home games. Tevaka Tuioti is completing 49.5 percent of his passes for 660 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions. Sheriron Jones and Tuioti have combined for six touchdowns and 10 interceptions this season. Jordan Kress and Marcus Williams have combined for 405 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Aaron Molina has seven receptions. The New Mexico Lobos ground game is averaging 212.2 yards per contest, and Ahmari Davis leads the way with 457 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing 39.6 points and 513.6 yards per game. Alex Hart leads the New Mexico Lobos with 36 tackles, Jacobi Hearn has two sacks and Jerrick Reed II has one interception.

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The Rams are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 conference games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. The Lobos are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games and 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Rams are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The over is 15-7 in Lobos last 22 home games. The under is 5-0 in Rams last 5 conference games.

The Colorado State Rams have split their last 10 road games ATS as a favorite. The New Mexico Lobos have split their last 10 home games ATS as an underdog. The last two games between Colorado State and New Mexico have been decided by a combined five points. I'm never in the business to lay points with teams struggling to win outright, and that's what you're doing if you're backing the Colorado State Rams. The New Mexico Lobos have played their best ball at home this season and have the ground game that can grind out an ugly victory. I'm not laying chalk with Colorado State. Give me the Lobos and the points if forced to pick. 

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Randy’s Pick New Mexico Lobos +4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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