Texas State vs. Louisiana-Monroe - 10/10/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Glenn Beil-USA TODAY Sports
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-3) at Texas State Bobcats (2-3)
College Football: Thursday, October 10, 2019 at 9:15 pm (Bobcat Stadium)
The Line: Texas State Bobcats +3 -- Over/Under: 63.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Louisiana-Monroe WarHawks and the Texas State Bobcats meet in a week 7 Sun Belt conference college football matchup from Bobcat Stadium on Thursday night.
The Louisiana-Monroe WarHawks will look to get back above .500 after falling to 2-3 with a 52-33 loss to Memphis in their last outing. Caleb Evans leads ULM with 1,172 passing yards, 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 62.3% passing this season while Josh Johnson leads ULM in rushing with 598 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns while Evans has rushed for 286 yards and 5 TDs. Josh Pederson leads ULM in receiving with 23 catches for 283 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns while Markis McCray is right behind with 20 grabs for 249 yards. Xavier Brown, Jonathan Hodoh, Zach Jackson and Brandius Batiste each have 100+ receiving yards this season. Defensively, Cortez Sisco Jr. leads ULM with 36 total tackles while Rashaad Harding has 303 total tackles and Donald Louis Jr. has a team-high 4.5 sacks this season. Corey Straughter has 3 sacks to lead Louisiana-Monroe while Chase Day has a pair of picks. As a team, Louisiana-Monroe is averaging 470 yards of total offense and 31.6 points per game while allowing 506.8 yards of total defense and 39 points per game against this season.
The Texas State Bobcats will look to get back to .500 after back-to-back victories with a 24-3 win over Nicholls in their last outing. Gresch Jensen has thrown for 1,121 yards, 5 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 64.2% passing while Caleb Twyford has 294 rushing yards and Anthony D. Taylor has 115 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns. Hutch White leads the Bobcats with 31 catches for 236 receiving yards while the Bobcats boast another 5 100+ yard receivers this season. Defensively, Bryan London II leads Texas State with 48 total tackles including a team-high 23 solo tackles while Nikolas Daniels has 40 total tackles including a pair of sacks. As a team, Texas State is averaging 323.2 yards of total offense and 19.8 points per game while allowing 410.6 yards of total defense and 29.6 points per game against this season.
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 conference games while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record. Texas State is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 conference games. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
Taking a home dog can be tempting, especially when Texas State has covered in 4 of the last 5 meetings with ULM. However, even with the same records, you can make a case that the WarHawks have the tougher schedule of the two, with their three losses coming to Florida State, Iowa State and Memphis. Granted, the WarHawks gave up 169 points in those three losses, but they’ve scored 30 or more in 4 of their 5 games to this point and I just don’t think that Texas State can match what Louisiana-Monroe brings to the table. I’ll lay the points with the WarHawks in this one.